On the eve of the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve officials are sounding dovish, expressing strong support for an early rate cut.
Officials still emphasize the health of the US labor market and economy, but advocate for gradually starting to reduce interest rates as soon as possible.
The key clues to the Fed's end of balance sheet reduction need to be found in tonight's Fed minutes?
As the discussion on when the Federal Reserve will end its current quantitative tightening (QT) policy continues to heat up on Wall Street, market strategists are hoping to gain more guidance from the Fed minutes to be released tonight; While most market observers currently predict that the Fed will completely end its balance sheet reduction at some point towards the end of this year, the specific timing has yet to be determined.
"Jackson Hole" is a blessing for the stock market? Illustration: over the years, the U.S. stock market has risen more than fallen before and after this event.
One of the main focuses of the global financial market this week is the upcoming Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting, which will kick off on Thursday. According to DataTrek Research, the good news is that historically, the US stock market has risen more than fallen before and after this annual economic policy seminar hosted by the Federal Reserve.
What will Powell, Jackson, and Hull say at the annual meeting? Traders focus on interest rate cuts, and this Friday may cause a huge earthquake in the US stock market.
Wall Street insiders believe that Powell may not give a clear signal on interest rate cuts, and the key to maintaining market sentiment is not Powell's words, but his tone. The options market pricing expects that the rise or fall of the S&P on Friday will exceed 1%.
What directions are specified in Buffett's and well-known funds' form 13f?
The latest inflation data in the USA has reduced market concerns about the recession of the USA's economy, and investors are re-entering the stock market. However, there are signs that a larger correction is imminent.
Before the annual meeting of the central bank, the Federal Reserve's voting committee hinted that inflation had been controlled and supported gradual interest rate cuts.
Mary Daly has the voting right for the September FOMC meeting, and she called for a "prudent" approach. "Gradualism is not weak, slow, or backward, it is just cautious. Although the labor market has slowed down, it is not weak."
HYGWE : should we worry a lower cpi could signal economic slowdown tho not yet recession but would need more action from over cautious and behind the curve FED ... too little too late FED to rescue from recession
Ultratech HYGWE : what is worrying is this one of those emotions again. they've been talking about a recession since covid.
Moomoo Research OP HYGWE : What you said is very reasonable. If there is a recession, the investment opportunities of many investment types will decline, and bonds will be a good choice.