Global Fund Managers Changed Their Views After Trump Got Elected. Here's How
Late night broadcasting! Powell: The economy is strong, the Federal Reserve does not need to rush to cut interest rates, there is time to understand the impact of Trump's policies.
Powell stated that labor market indicators are returning to more normal levels consistent with the Federal Reserve's full employment target; inflation will continue to decline towards the target of 2%, although there may be occasional fluctuations; the interest rate path is not preset and depends on data and economic outlook. If the data tells us to slow down rate cuts, slowing down is the wise choice; Congress generally believes that the Fed's independence is very important, concluding prematurely on the policies of the Trump administration. The Fed will act cautiously before policy is more certain; the impact of AI may be later and greater than we expect.
Is it stable? The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates next month has reached 80%.
① Last night, the completely market-expected usa October CPI data did not cause much of a stir in the market; ② However, the data performance still boosted market confidence in the Fed's interest rate cut next month, and stimulated a rebound in short-term US government bonds.
Is the continued interest rate cut stable in December? Federal Reserve officials say inflation is moving in the right direction.
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Kashkari expressed confidence in the direction of inflation shortly after the CPI was announced, saying that it is moving in the right direction and that more time is needed to analyze the data. Dallas Federal Reserve President Logan stated that more rate cuts are likely in the future, but it is best to proceed with caution due to the risks of inflation caused by demand and geopolitical factors. It is said that she prefers to slow down rate cuts sooner rather than later. St. Louis Federal Reserve President Mester mentioned that if inflation continues to decline, rate cuts should be gradual, and monetary policy should remain "slightly restrictive." Kansas City Federal Reserve President Schmid stated that it is uncertain how much rate cuts will be needed in the future.
USA Stock Market Preview | All three equity index futures fell together, with the US October CPI released tonight.
On November 13th (Wednesday) pre-market trading, the three major US equity index futures all fell.
Trillion dollars！This year, global etf set a record for attracting funds.
As of October 31, the net inflow of funds into global etf this year has reached 1.4 trillion USD, exceeding the record of 1.33 trillion for the entire year of 2021. Demand for fixed income, csi commodity equity index, and stocks etfs is booming, with an inflow of 11.7 billion USD into china stocks etf in October (etfs listed overseas in china), more than double the peak in June 2022.
