'A Lack Of A Santa Claus Rally Would Be Concerning,' Says Analyst As S&P 500 Breadth Hits Lowest Since Jimmy Carter Era
What does the collapse of the "breadth" of the US stock market tell the market?
Morgan Stanley stated that the market breadth, which has been at historically "worst levels" over the past week, anticipates that the Federal Reserve may not provide as much easing as the market expects. This is because expensive yet unprofitable growth stocks and low-quality cyclical stocks may be the most affected by a reduction in liquidity.
What does the Federal Reserve's "Skip" mean for the market?
Citi Research found that during the period when the Federal Reserve pauses interest rate cuts, the U.S. stock market usually performs well, but the sustainability of the rise depends on whether economic weakness leads to a restart of policy easing; U.S. Treasury rates usually rise at the pause or end of the cycle; for the dollar, if the interest rate cuts are only paused, the dollar performs laterally, if it is the last interest rate cut, the dollar will rise; after the pause, regardless of whether the easing cycle continues, Gold prices usually rise.
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