Express News | US Sep. Non-Farm Payrolls +254000 Vs +140000 Forecast, Prior +159000; US Sep. Unemployment Rate 4.1% Vs 4.2% Forecast, Prior 4.2%
Express News | US September ADP Nonfarm Employment Change +143000 Vs +124000 Forecast, Prior +99000
Under the tide of Fed rate cuts, U.S. stocks are bullish to lead the way for the whole year, while U.S. bonds and the U.S. dollar are being neglected!
With the continuous rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, most respondents predict that the performance of the US stock market for the remaining time this year will surpass the government and corporate bonds market.
Guosen Securities: Will the Fed "stabilize the dollar" or "stabilize US bonds"? Global funds' views on US assets may change.
Guosen Securities stated that looking ahead, the Fed's decision-making may continue to be "tightening", and after a period of "stabilizing US bonds", it is not ruled out that "stabilizing the US dollar" may once again pressure the Fed to adjust its policy direction. These factors may influence the global perception of US assets.
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Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by another 50 basis points in November? The 2-year US bond yield hits a two-year low.
1. The US two-year Treasury bond yield fell further to its lowest level in over two years during the Asian session on Wednesday; 2. An indicator measuring consumer confidence slipped overnight on Tuesday, further enhancing expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut at the next Fed meeting.
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The Fed's interest rate cut may not necessarily be bullish! Bank of America warns that the risk of a bubble resurgence, and recommends buying bonds and gold.
The excitement of the stock market intensified the bubble risk after the Fed cut interest rates, making bonds and gold an attractive tool to hedge against economic recession or rising inflation.
Tianfeng Securities: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points. How should we view the domestic bond market?
However, considering that the fundamentals and policies determine that the direction of interest rates has not changed, it seems unnecessary to take profit even if domestic interest rate cuts are implemented.
Treasury Yields Just Shy of Two-week Highs Amid Optimism on the U.S. Economy
One word sets off the global market, Powell said it ten times!
"Recalibration" of the cost-cutting of 50 basis points is the latest interpretation, igniting market risk appetite and boosting the rise of small cap stocks. However, there are opposing voices that believe the 50 basis point rate cut is mainly to address economic recession. If the subsequent economic deterioration forces the Fed to cut rates more aggressively, can we still use "recalibration" as an excuse?
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Has the Fed's interest rate cut come too late? "Bond King" Gundlach: The US economy may already be in a recession.
Although the US stock market is delighted by the significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, "bond king" Jeff Gundlach still believes that the Fed's interest rate cut came too late; Gundlach believes that the continuously increasing number of unemployed in the United States indicates that the US economy has entered a recession.