US Inflation Eases for Fourth Straight Month
"Anti-inflation task completed"! Experts call for the Fed to cut interest rates: rental normalization has begun.
Economists say a key indicator shows that prices are returning to normal levels.
Fed committee member 'loosens lips': 'holds an open attitude' towards rate cut in September, can't risk relaxing policy too late
FOMC voter and President of Atlanta Federal Reserve, Bostic, stated that action must be taken as soon as possible considering the continuing cooling of the labor market and the lagging of central bank policy. It is worth noting that just the day before this statement, Bostic reaffirmed his position of rate cuts at the end of the year.
Will July Retail Sales Confirm a Soft Landing -- or Fuel Recession Fears?
How does Wall Street view CPI? The increase in housing inflation will not hinder the trend of interest rate cuts, and traders are betting on a 25 basis point rate cut in September.
Wall Street analysts have indicated that the July CPI data may further pave the way for the Fed to lower interest rates by 25 basis points in September. Next, the Fed will focus on the labor market. If employment weakens, a larger cut of 50 basis points may be needed. Some analysts have said that although housing inflation has ceased its downward trend, it is not a major concern.
"New American Union News Agency": The way for interest rate cuts in September has been paved, and the focus is on the scale of interest rate cuts.
Timiraos said that a rate cut is almost inevitable and the focus of the September meeting will shift to whether the rate cut decision is unanimous and whether it will be a 25 or 50 basis point cut. The reason why the size of the rate cut may become a topic of discussion is because the recent US labor market has shown signs of potential weakness. Therefore, even if the inflation data is not as moderate as the Fed expected, the reason for the rate cut in September has become more justifiable. He believes that moderate inflation data may make it more likely for there to be three rate cuts this year.
HYGWE : should we worry a lower cpi could signal economic slowdown tho not yet recession but would need more action from over cautious and behind the curve FED ... too little too late FED to rescue from recession
Ultratechman HYGWE : what is worrying is this one of those emotions again. they've been talking about a recession since covid.
Moomoo Research OP HYGWE : What you said is very reasonable. If there is a recession, the investment opportunities of many investment types will decline, and bonds will be a good choice.