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U.S. Treasury Yields Show Limited Moves, Markets Await Fed Decision on Wednesday -- Market Talk
How to bet on inflation in Europe and the United States? UBS Group provides a 'Trade Guide'.
UBS Group has released a Global inflation Bonds Trade strategy.
Dollar Struggles to Recover Amid U.S. Growth Concerns -- Market Talk
Morgan Stanley: U.S. stocks may welcome a rebound in the short term, but long-term recovery needs to overcome numerous obstacles.
The Morgan Stanley strategy team pointed out last Sunday that after a significant decline since February, U.S. stocks have recently shown signs of a short-term rebound.
The "US Fed Confidence Index" rises after dropping for 4 weeks, while the "US Fed House Price Index" continues to hit new lows not seen in over 8 and a half years.
The "Mainland Confidence Index" recently reported 60.7 points, up 0.8% week-on-week, rebounding after four consecutive weeks of decline. With Hong Kong stocks continuing to perform well, along with a positive atmosphere in the Hong Kong property market following the budget, it has strengthened owner confidence.
Next Fed Rate Cut Expected Earliest at End-2Q -- Market Talk
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Georgehx : What do you mean?
Derpy Trades OP Georgehx : JP Morgan and at least one other major bank are selling off while Treasury yields are falling. That tends to be a strong sign of flight to safety.
Georgehx Derpy Trades OP : You’ve got a valid point but I’m holding mainly bonds atm bcz of the volatility in market rn & bonds tend to rise when interest rates fall so doesn’t really matter 25 or 50 basis points, bonds esp longer ones will do well am I right to say that?
Derpy Trades OP Georgehx : The bond market is very complex, and so that is a very difficult question to answer. In most scenarios bonds will rally when or even in anticipation of rate cuts, but if there were ever a black swan event in which the Fed had to monetize our government's debt, long-term interest rates would likely skyrocket and bonds would depreciate quickly.