Morgan Stanley Holds Neutral View on U.S. Treasury Duration, Yield Curve Shape
Countdown to the USA election various data show that Trump's chances of winning seem greater!
①Currently, data from all aspects indicate that the former US president, Trump, seems to have a better chance of winning; ②There are forecasting models showing that Trump's probability of winning surpassed Vice President Harris for the first time on October 19.
The Fed 'cheats' while Trump 'exerts force'! Emerging markets are in trouble.
①Recently, the price trends of some of the most risk-sensitive assets globally indicate that people are increasingly worried that the Fed's decision to cut interest rates sharply last month may be premature or may not be sustainable; ②At the same time, the upcoming US election is also making the market increasingly jittery and on edge.
US stocks rose for the sixth consecutive week, crude oil plummeted, gold and silver shone | Overseas major asset weekly report
Spot gold hit record highs twice this week, with a total weekly increase of about 2.4%, while silver rose about 7% to nearly a twelve-year high for the week. With the USA pushing for a ceasefire in Gaza, the crude oil market showed a weak performance this week. The dollar fell from an 11-week high.
US stocks closed | S&P, Dow hit new closing highs, Netflix soared more than 11% after earnings; Chinese concept stocks rose across the board, li auto inc rose more than 6%
1. China concept stocks are up across the board, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index in China rising by 3.03%; 2. The US federal government has started investigating Tesla's FSD; 3. The US Federal Aviation Administration said it will launch a new round of safety reviews on Boeing; 4. Netflix hits a new all-time high, with the company's third-quarter performance and fourth-quarter performance guidance both exceeding market expectations.
As US Tackles Inflation With Rate Cuts, IMF MD Sounds Alarm: 'Not Yet Time To Celebrate' Amid Looming Low Growth, High Debt
First increase in four months! The top "creditor" usa added US debt holdings in August, while China's bond holdings approached the lowest level since 2009.
According to the data from the US Treasury Department, in August, when the yen rebounded by more than 2% and relieved pressure on the local currency, Japan's holdings of US Treasury bonds increased by $13.5 billion, breaking out of the nine-month low; China's holdings decreased by $1.9 billion, marking the sixth consecutive month of decline this year.
Treasury Yields Rise on Robust U.S. Labor, Retail Data -- Market Talk
Treasury Yields March Higher After Latest Retail Sales Report
Treasury Yields Extend Losses Ahead of Claims Data -- Market Talk
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for Oct. 16
U.S. bonds surged! Overnight: U.S. manufacturing data collapsed, oil prices collapsed...
On the first trading day after Columbus Day holiday, the price of US government bonds ushered in a wave of sharp rise on Tuesday.
The sharp drop in oil prices has pushed inflation expectations down, with the 'global asset pricing anchor' falling back from a two-and-a-half month high.
Crude oil futures prices plummeted by more than 5%, while the price of 10-year US Treasury bonds saw the largest increase in two weeks.
Major risks in November are undergoing significant changes.
Less than a month away from the US election day on November 5th, the market is beginning to price in the risk of the election results. Currently, Trump has regained a leading advantage, adding uncertainty to the election. China International Capital Corporation believes that for future assets, the overall election is bullish for US stocks but tariffs are unfavorable for Chinese assets; the US dollar is relatively strong, gold is neutral, interest rates are rising; bulk commodities may benefit from expectations of Trump's stimulus.
Financial Sector Leads US Stock Market To New Heights
The Biggest Problem Trump and Harris Aren't Talking About
Wall Street bond issuance frenzy is coming! Six major banks will wildly distribute $20 billion in bonds next week?
Wall Street banks are expected to launch a series of bond issuances next week to take advantage of ultra-low credit spreads and strong investor demand.
Here's How Bond ETFs Fared as Investors Parsed New Inflation, Jobless-claims Data
Treasury Yields Mixed as Data Point in Different Directions -- Market Talk
CICC: The "turning point" of the Sino-US cycle has emerged, where are the new opportunities for asset allocation?
The changes in the cycles of usa and china have already given birth to the asset 'crossing point'. The changes in the cycles of usa and china have brought about relatively certain crossing points, including short-term debt in the usa, real estate chains, and export chains in china, with Hong Kong stocks (especially growth stocks) outperforming A shares.