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U.S. stock market close: the three major indexes varied in performance; Huang Renxun's remarks caused a collapse in the Quantum Computing Sector.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.67%, with most China Concept Stocks declining; ② Wildfires ravaged California, and Electrical Utilities provider Edison International fell by 10%; ③ Jensen Huang stated that a "very useful" quantum computer may take several decades to arrive; ④ Intel: will continue to focus on the independent graphics card market.
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NVIDIA has dropped significantly, and investors feel there were issues with Jensen Huang's CES speech. It was all just 'show' without any substantial content.
In this fiscal year, NVIDIA's Datacenter Business revenue is expected to reach 113 billion USD, while the revenue from the second largest business segment, Gaming, is still less than 12 billion USD. The Datacenter will be the dominant factor for NVIDIA's stock price for a long time. However, Jensen Huang's speech provided almost no substantial information about Datacenter Chips, only stating that the Blackwell AI Chip has been fully put into production.
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Oak Tree Capital's Marks: New things are prone to bubbles, currently private equity buying S&P 500, with a 10-year yield of only ±2%.
Max recently released a memorandum titled "Revisiting the Bubble," stating that investors are currently betting on the leading high-tech companies to maintain their dominance. However, he believes that it is not easy to stay ahead, as new technologies and competitors can surpass existing market leaders at any time. When people assume that "things can only get better" and Buy based on that, the impact of negative news can be particularly severe. He specifically pointed out the frenzy over AI and how this positive sentiment may spread to other Technology sectors.
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