US Inflation Expectations Steady for Short Term, Slows to Record Low for Medium Term, NY Fed Survey
Will the rebound of the US stock market be inevitably rocky with the arrival of "Super Data Week"?
It is now market consensus that inflation is declining. This week's retail and first application data may be more important than PPI and CPI. "From now on, the data will tell us about the US economy: whether it is gradually slowing down or plummeting abruptly."
The most accurate analyst on Wall Street: It's no longer about “to cut or not to cut”, or “when to cut”, but rather “whether cutting interest rates is still effective”.
According to Michael Hartnett, Chief Strategist at Bank of America, significant interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are necessary to prevent a recession. If certain key indicators are breached, the Wall Street narrative will shift from a soft landing to a hard landing. Hartnett recommends focusing on the US NFIB Small Business Confidence data, which will be released on Tuesday.
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