Penguin : the market has priced in the limitations Trump may enforce. however you‘ll never know what Trump will actually do after inauguration. to me the chips will not go worse anyway

10baggerbamm OP Penguin : the market hasn't priced anything in when you get named you're going to get crucified it's really that simple.
that's like saying if AMD misses their earnings and guides lower the stock's not going to go down despite being down over $100 from its peak.
the minute Trump talks about limitations and sales institutions will be shorting the piss out of every chip stock mentioned and the whole basket for that matter for fear that somebody else is going to be named that's part of the group that's just how it works.

JFL : I hope it raise to 5% . Chance for buying more

Niccoles : What will happen if the opening directly reaches 32?

10baggerbamm OP Niccoles : you know you're asking a question that is so short-term nobody knows it's pure conjecture it's a guess.
I think you're going to see some profit taking off of the open I think if it prints 32 I think I could drop 50 cents relatively quickly and then I think you'll see people buy it again on that dip.
you have to understand chip stocks have been decimated they haven't done shit since the clubbing in August.
this basket was over $70 at the end of June and then you had the Japanese dollar trade unwinding basically deleveraging massive margin calls on tech stocks and they all got dumped.
and then you had several key holdings here ASM lithography Miss earnings guided lower because of one client within the automotive division which is still going to be weak until the back half of 25.
you had micron Miss weak consumer electronic personal computer sales an abundance of dram chips from multiple suppliers, margins under pressure. they're saying that's not going to clear up until the back half of 25
AMD train wreck since March of last year straight fucking down to 117. they disappointed twice on the growth of their AI division their GPU sales were less than expected so they don't have consistency even in the strongest division and they come out the end of January I expect lousy sales on the chips use for personal computers because Dell told us this and their gaming business is going to be only up a few percent nothing great.
so you can go down the list of the largest holdings in this portfolio and the reality is they all have disappointed at some point in time including Nvidia with a delays of Blackwell running hot okay you can create whatever store you want.
so the question is have they been marked down to a level that the accumulation will look beyond the problems in this sector???
would you rather buy a chip stock growing at 30% year-over-year trading at 35 times earnings or would you rather buy Walmart trading at 41 times earnings growing at 5%. it's the same money that would go into both companies from an institutional standpoint I'm staying with tech