Howard Marks on Bubble Watch: Stock Valuations High but Not Nutty
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Howard Marks: Is there a bubble in the U.S. stock market now?
Max believes that the U.S. stock market may have some bubbles, but it is not out of control. The expected PE for the S&P 500 Index is 23.6 times, and compared to valuation parameters, a more effective way to determine bubbles is through psychological diagnosis. Currently, there is no talk from people saying 'there are no prices that are unreachable,' which is a clear indicator of irrational thinking and a sign of bubbles.
Wall Street's New Year interest rate "gamble": from several rate cuts, it has changed to whether rates will remain unchanged or not...
On Tuesday, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, known as the "anchor of Global asset pricing," further reached its highest level in eight months; the betting game surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate direction seems to have completely shifted from several rate cuts this year to whether further cuts will actually happen...
Options Market Statistics: Jensen Huang's Major Product Presentation Failed to Lift Nvidia Shares; Options Pop
2024 "Capitol Hill Stock God" performance: dozens of members of Congress outperform the Large Cap stock market, with the highest yield reaching 149%!
① According to a new report, in the recently passed year of 2024, the stock investment portfolios of over 20 USA lawmakers outperformed the Large Cap; ② Congressman David Rouzer had the highest investment portfolio return, reaching 149%; ③ This has once again raised concerns about insider trading among congressional members.
U.S. stock market close: Inflation concerns lead to a decline in all indexes, NVIDIA fell 6% after reaching a new high.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.2%, with China Concept Stocks showing mixed results; ② NVIDIA launched its personal computing product Project DIGITS; ③ XPENG Huaitian: Flying cars will be mass-produced and delivered in 2026; ④ Vaccine stocks soared, with Moderna rising nearly 12% and Novavax increasing by nearly 11%.
Bubble or No Bubble? See What SA Analysts Have to Say
US Morning News Call | NVIDIA Unveils New Tech at CES, Stock Hits Record High
What will happen to the US stock market and economy in 2025? Research companies warn: the more optimistic, the more dangerous!
BCA Research warns that investors' optimism regarding the USA economy and stock market in 2025 may lead to results falling short of expectations, as 'animal spirits' could drive up inflation, ensuring that interest rates remain high for a longer period. The company also stated that extreme optimism about the USA economy decreases the likelihood of an acceleration in growth for the USA economy in 2025.
The "danger signals" in the US stock market: Why did hedge funds suddenly sell off?
Hedge funds have continuously net Sold USA Stocks for the past five Trading days, with the selling pace being the fastest in over seven months. Goldman Sachs believes this could be an important warning signal for investors.
Morgan Stanley CIO: The US stock market will experience "ice and fire" in 2025, with a difficult start in the first half of the year!
1. Michael Wilson, Chief Investment Officer of Morgan Stanley, stated that the challenges faced by US stocks in the first half of the year are greater, as the surge in bond yields and the strengthening dollar pose risks to the stock market. 2. He pointed out that the correlation between the S&P 500 Index and US Treasury yields has turned into a "decisive negative correlation," a divergence that has not been seen since last summer.
China Securities Co.,Ltd.: The future trends of the US stock market depend on the sustainability of the Technology revolution driven by AI.
The underlying logic of the Reagan cycle is to suppress inflation with tight MMF, stimulate growth with loose regulation, and ultimately create a cycle of "economic growth - strong dollar - strong U.S. stocks" in growth, liquidity, and Assets.
U.S. stock market closing: the three major Indexes had mixed results, with the Technology conference CES boosting chip stocks higher.
① Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.16%, most China Concept Stocks fell, Tencent ADR dropped nearly 8%; ② MicroStrategy has purchased Bitcoin for nine consecutive weeks; ③ Trump denies plans to reduce the applicability of tariffs; ④ Qualcomm announces the launch of the new AI chip Snapdragon X.
U.S. Stocks Rise Behind Chip Makers -- Market Talk
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