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BCA: US stocks 'will soon reach their peak, and the bear market will begin,' global investors should increase their allocation to government bonds.
BCA analyst suggests that the US stock market is likely to soon peak and a bear market will begin. Global asset allocators should increase their allocation to government bonds rather than stocks. A significant allocation to US dollar cash is also reasonable.
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Will the Fed have its "first cut in September" as the US Q2 economic growth rate exceeds expectations and inflation steadily cools down?
Unlikely in July.
US Q2 GDP Recap: The Economy Expanded by a Robust 2.8% Rate, Significantly Surpassing Expectations
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USA's Q2 economic growth rate exceeded expectations, and the Nasdaq opened slightly higher.
The three major US stock indexes have mixed trends, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 index up 0.07%, and the Dow down 0.06%. The actual annualized quarterly growth rate for GDP in the second quarter of the United States was 2.8%, with an expected 2% and a previous value of 1.4%; the initial annualized quarterly growth rate for the core PCE price index was 2.9%, expected 2.7%, and previous value was 3.7%. The initial quarterly growth rate for actual personal consumption expenditures was 2.3%, the expected value was 2%, and the previous was 1.5%. IBM rose more than 2.4%, with Q2 revenue of $15.77 billion and an EPS of $2.43, both exceeding market expectations, while the AI business booking scale increased significantly. Ford Motor fell more than 13.4%,
BlackRock: continue to over-allocate opportunities related to US stocks and AI themes.
Analysts predict that the technology stocks of the S&P 500 index are expected to achieve a year-on-year profit growth of 18% in the second quarter, while the profit growth of other constituent stocks is only 2%.
U.S. Economy Keeps Going Strong, Growing at 2.8% Rate in Second Quarter
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