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US stock outlook: Mixed performance of the three major equity index futures, Goldman Sachs expects the S&P 500 index to reach new highs this week.
On August 27th (Tuesday) pre-market trading, the equity index futures of the three major US stock indexes showed mixed changes.
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Will the US dollar weaken with a soft landing? Goldman Sachs adds: Strong stock market returns may limit the decline of the US dollar.
Goldman Sachs said that the recent decline in the US dollar index was due to the signal of interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, but if US stocks can bring stable returns, the decline of the US dollar may be contained.
Dow hits a new high! Rotation in the US stock market: What should investors look at before the interest rate cut in September?
①The Dow hit a new high, with more than half of the S&P 500 index stocks rising, but at the same time, the sharp decline in technology stocks dragged the Nasdaq down 0.85%... ②Are you familiar with this scene? ③That's right, in the early stages of the rotational trend in the US stock market last month, this is roughly how the market operated.
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Will there be a 25 basis point rate cut in September? New signals from Fed's Daly and Barkin.
Rate cuts need to be more cautious.
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Fed's Powell: Inflation still poses upside risks, but supports a 25 basis point rate cut next month.
①Baljan pointed out that he tends to take a more cautious approach to interest rate cuts, gradually adjusting policies by observing market and economic reactions; ②The practice of "lower hiring, lower firing" currently adopted by American companies is unlikely to continue.
Did the significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve boost risk assets? Historical results are counterintuitive.
In the history of modern finance, there have been 14 complete cycles of the Federal Reserve. Although the market's reaction to interest rate cuts may vary at different times, there are some obvious trends: when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates quickly, the market performance is worse compared to a gradual interest rate cut scenario. In the scenario of rapid interest rate cuts, within one year after the first interest rate cut, the maximum drawdown is twice as much as in the scenario of gradual interest rate cuts.
Overnight US stocks | The three major indexes rise and fall differently, the Dow hits a new historical high, and the tense situation in the Middle East helps crude oil surge by more than 3%.
At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 65.44 points, or 0.16%, to 41,240.52; the Nasdaq Composite fell 152.03 points, or 0.85%, to 17,725.77; the S&P 500 Index fell 17.77 points, or 0.32%, to 5,616.84.
Investors fear missing out on the uptrend. Goldman Sachs expects s&p 500 index to hit a new high this week.
According to Goldman Sachs' Global Market Director and Tactical Expert Scott Rubner's analysis, strong company buybacks and the inflow of systematic funds are expected to push the S&P 500 index to a new historical high this week.
Fed policymaker: Rate cut timing has arrived. It's hard to imagine any surprises at the September meeting.
Federal Reserve Chairman Daly said that it is time for the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates, and it is difficult to imagine any surprises at the September meeting. As for the pace of future interest rate cuts, Daly said it is still too early to determine the exact path of policy.
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