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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Market Even At Mid Day Tuesday Despite Index Climb, Chinese Stock Fall
DocuSign +9%, MDU Resources Group Stocks Rise on S&P Global Index Changes
The US stock earnings season kicks off this week: Profit expectations sharply decline, is it a warning signal for a stock market pullback?
①This week, a potentially crucial event that may determine the future trend of US stocks has arrived as scheduled: the official start of the Q3 earnings season for US stocks; ②Wall Street currently expects the s&p 500 index component companies to have a quarterly profit growth of 4.7% year-on-year in the third quarter. This growth rate is significantly lower than the 7.9% in the previous earnings season, marking the lowest growth rate in four quarters.
Chinese Stocks Pull Back to End Stimulus Holiday, Oil Falls | Moovin Stonks
Traders Are Piling Into Stock-Market Insurance -- WSJ
US stock market outlook | The three major equity index futures rose together, kicking off a new round of earnings season.
On October 8th (Tuesday) pre-market trading, the three major equity index futures of US stocks all rose.
Fed's Kugler Says She Supports More Rate Cuts If Inflation Recedes
Just two days! The expectation of a 50 basis point rate cut was shattered as the 10-year US Treasury yield returned above 4%.
1. On Monday this week, the sharp drop in the US Treasury market further intensified, and the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond returned above the 4% level, reaching its highest level since August; 2. Due to the unexpectedly strong US employment report announced last Friday, traders are forced to reevaluate their predictions for the outlook of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Expected to rise another 5% by the end of the year! Goldman Sachs has raised its s&p 500 index target price for the third time this year.
①Goldman Sachs' strategist has raised the year-end target price of the s&p 500 index for the third time this year; ②He expects the s&p 500 index to close at 6000 points this year, which is the second highest target price given by Wall Street strategists; ③This means that in the less than three months remaining this year, the potential roi of the s&p 500 index is about 5%.
Options Market Statistics: XPEV Options Pop as US-Listed Chinese Stocks Keep Climbing
10/8 [Strength and Weakness Analysis]
[Bullish and Bearish Factors] Bullish factors: Nikkei Average is rising (39,332.74, +697.12), US crude oil futures are rising (77.14, +2.76), Expectation of easing inflation in the US, active share buybacks, request from the Tokyo Stock Exchange for enhancing corporate value. Bearish factors: NY Dow is falling (41,954.24, -398.51), Nasdaq Composite Index is falling (17,923.90, -213.94), $1 = 148.00-10 yen, Chicago Nikkei futures are falling (38,915, Osaka comparison -455).
The Fed May Not Cut Rates in November. What to Do With Treasury Bonds Now
Goldman Sachs released three heavyweight research reports over the weekend: downgrading the forecast for US recession, expecting the Chinese stock market to rise by another 15% to 20%.
Goldman Sachs' stock strategy team believes that the US large cap stocks can rise by another 4.3% to 6000 points by the end of the year, as the possibility of a US recession has decreased, allowing the Federal Reserve to only reduce interest rates by 25 basis points each time. Their AP strategic team has upgraded the rating of Chinese stocks to "shareholding" and is bullish on the potential boost to valuation from large-scale stimulus measures.
US stocks collectively fell by about 1%, with Chinese concept stocks rebounding in a V-shape, US bond yields rising above 4%, and oil prices rising by nearly 4%.
USA stocks and bonds both fell, with the Dow down 400 points, Tesla down 3.7%, Nvidia up over 2%, Chinese concept stocks fell nearly 3% before closing higher, Alibaba and Tencent ADRs rose 2.6%, Li Auto Inc. rose over 4%. The two-year US treasury yield rose nearly 10 basis points, breaking above 4% for the first time since August for both the 2-year and 10-year treasury yields, with the US dollar hovering at a seven-week high since August 16. Brent crude oil closed above $80, reaching a six-week high along with WTI oil climbing above $77. Silver briefly fell more than 2.4%.
Investors are waiting for the financial reports of Wall Street's major banks, while the s&p 500 index's financial sector is close to summer highs.
Financial stocks have outperformed the s&p 500 index so far this month, and investors are eagerly awaiting the quarterly financial reports of major banks to be released this weekend.
Consumer Cos Drop on Fed, Earnings Fears - Consumer Roundup
Market Falls Monday to Start the First Week of Q3 Earnings | Wall Street Today
The Fed May Not Cut Rates In November. What to Do With Treasury Bonds Now. -- Barrons.com
Top Wall Street strategists are more bullish on US stocks, while the big short seller Wilson is more bullish on cyclical stocks. Kostin raised the S&P target.
Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson believes that cyclical stocks outperform defensive stocks, as the strong non-farm payroll data released last Friday and expectations of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Goldman Sachs's David Kostin has raised the S&P's target price for the next 12 months by 5% to 6300 points, equivalent to an increase of over 9.5% compared to last Friday's closing.
The Bull Market Is Nearing Its Second Birthday. Here's Why It Will Likely Continue.