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The dollar has retreated and the stock market is rebounding! The Asia-Pacific and European-American indices are rising together, US Treasury yields are declining, and gold is rising.
The Bloomberg USD Index has fallen for three consecutive days, with most Asia-Pacific and European-American stock indices rising. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond has fallen to the 4.4% level, while spot gold has slightly increased by 0.3%.
The "Trump gloom" casts a shadow over the european market, making things worse.
Since the USA election, the European stock markets have fallen, capital outflow has intensified, and the euro has approached parity against the dollar.
Wall Street is bullish on reaching 6,500 points! Goldman Sachs: The magnificent 7 continue to lead the way, bullish on these stocks.
①David Kostin, Chief Stock Strategist at Goldman Sachs, expects the S&P 500 index to continue rising until the end of 2025, with the target price raised from 6,300 points to 6,500 points. ②The firm also predicts that the magnificent 7 will continue to outperform other constituents of the S&P 500 index next year, but the gap will be the smallest in seven years.
Taking history as a mirror, is the U.S. stock market not looking good?
Deutsche Bank analysis indicates that the current market environment shares similarities with three historical peaks, and historically, when market valuations are too high, there may be limited room for further increases. A turning point could arrive quickly, and there is a risk of market adjustments due to potential economic slowdowns or other catalytic factors.
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