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Wall Street's “last bear” Stifel: U.S. stocks will fall to 5,000 points by the end of 2025.
① Barry Bannister, the chief investment strategist at Stifel, one of the few bears on Wall Street, expects that U.S. stocks will be below current levels by the end of 2025; ② Bannister believes that persistently high inflation may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates, impacting the stock market's upward momentum; ③ In contrast, other strategists are focusing on the trajectory of economic growth rather than the extent of interest rate cuts.
HuatLady : The choice between long-term and short-term stocks largely depends on one's goals, risk tolerance and time horizon. Personally, I lean towards long-term investments as they provide several advantages. They are the best way to weather tough times and ride out markets volatility. Established companies often pay consistent dividends, offering a stable income stream. While infrequent trading minimizes transection costs, enhancing overall returns.
For instance, when I hold stocks like $Apple (AAPL.US)$ and $Coca-Cola (KO.US)$, timing the market becomes less of a concern. I am confident these "bullet-proof" stocks can meet the challenges, whether it's a market recession or a global pandemic. Their track records of staying strong and thriving makes them perfect for long term investors like me .
ZnWC : Thanks for the event
I trade in both short-term and long-term. The inclination will depend on the market condition.
Think short term:
Under a bull market, I am likely to sell most of the overvalued stocks to take profit. Occasionally I will buy call options to earn a profit in the short term and no intention to buy the stock when it is in the money (ITM). As the stock value appreciates quickly, my investment strategy tells me not to buy which may end up holding a stock at a high price. My inclination is short term.
Think long term:
Under a bear market, I can find many undervalued stocks (based on PE ratio and other FA/TA indicators). My investment strategy tells me to buy and hold. I like to use Value averaging (VA) to accumulate stock - buy when the share dip and hold/sell when the share price is up. I will buy put options to protect my lower end and may exercise the contract if it is ITM - buy more with intention to hold. My inclination tends to be long term.
Bottom line
My investment principle -
"To be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful".
It is not easy to buy a dip because you need to DYODD and invest in a stock with conviction. When the share price dips further, most will "panic sell" in fear that you may catch a falling knife. I also don't use short term trading strategies like short selling or sell options because it is beyond my risk appetite.
HuatEver : Balancing short and long-term investment goals is challenging, but I prefer long-term investments for their ability to weather market fluctuations, generate dividends and capitalise on growth opportunities. They also encourage discipline and reduce impulsive decisions driven by short-term volatility.
That said, short-term investments have strategic value, offering quick liquidity and flexibility to address immediate needs or market opportunities. By combining the stability of long-term investments with the agility of short-term plays, I aim to strike a balance that aligns with both immediate needs and future wealth-building goals.
102362254 : I prefer long-term investments for the growth and stability they offer, but I’m open to short-term opportunities when they pop up. It’s all about staying flexible and adapting to what works best for my goals and the market
Bird007 : @Author, please correct, the adjustment announcement of the NASDAQ 100 Index will be published at 8:00 PM Eastern Time this Friday (9:00 AM Peking Time).
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