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The Fed's hawkish rate cuts trigger a plunge in the US stock market? A well-known Analyst says: it's exactly the right time to buy the dip on Hershey!
① Last week, the Federal Reserve’s "hawkish rate cut" operation led to a sharp decline in U.S. stocks, with major Technology stocks being sold off; ② however, Dan Ives, the Global Technology Research Head at Wedbush Securities, believes that the AI revolution has only just begun, and now is the time to Buy, expecting a bull market in Technology stocks to last for five to six years.
What does the collapse of the "breadth" of the US stock market tell the market?
Morgan Stanley stated that the market breadth, which has been at historically "worst levels" over the past week, anticipates that the Federal Reserve may not provide as much easing as the market expects. This is because expensive yet unprofitable growth stocks and low-quality cyclical stocks may be the most affected by a reduction in liquidity.
What does the Federal Reserve's "Skip" mean for the market?
Citi Research found that during the period when the Federal Reserve pauses interest rate cuts, the U.S. stock market usually performs well, but the sustainability of the rise depends on whether economic weakness leads to a restart of policy easing; U.S. Treasury rates usually rise at the pause or end of the cycle; for the dollar, if the interest rate cuts are only paused, the dollar performs laterally, if it is the last interest rate cut, the dollar will rise; after the pause, regardless of whether the easing cycle continues, Gold prices usually rise.
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Hong Kong stock market morning report on December 23: Biden signed a bill to prevent the USA government from "shutting down". The performance of China Concept Stocks shows divergence.
① Biden signed an emergency funding bill to prevent a "shutdown" of the USA government. ② The USA's November core PCE price index rose 2.8% year-on-year, which was lower than expected. ③ The three major stock indexes in the USA opened lower and closed higher last Friday, while China Concept Stocks showed mixed performance. ④ NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures rose more than 14% last week. ⑤ Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that interest rates may decline within 12 to 18 months.
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