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Market-Moving News for December 9th
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Another U.S. stock market bear has "surrendered"! Rosenberg: Extreme stock market valuations may be reasonable.
① Renowned usa economist David Rosenberg has changed his long-standing bearish stance, stating that the ai-driven technology boom has led him to reassess the us stock market; ② Rosenberg indicated that if ai unleashes a wave of productivity, extreme valuations might make sense; ③ Rosenberg mentioned that despite the possibility of a bubble, it may not manifest in the coming years, and he remains open to the idea that the bull market could 'go further.'
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Is this time really different? Another well-known "U.S. stock bear" has apologized.
Top Wall Street economist Rosenberg is no longer bearish on U.S. stocks, but he still expects a correction of 5-10%. Rosenberg stated that he previously underestimated ai, and the market currently has high expectations for AI; only when these high expectations are proven to be excessive will the stock market enter a bear market.
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This week, the biggest variables in US stocks, bonds, and bitcoin.
Investors need to closely monitor the release of November CPI this Wednesday, which could be a "black swan" event that disrupts market expectations for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Analysts suggest that if the CPI shows no significant increase in U.S. inflation, then a rate cut in December is highly likely. However, futures pricing indicates that the Fed may pause rate cuts at the January meeting next year.
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