Fed's Powell: Inflation still poses upside risks, but supports a 25 basis point rate cut next month.
①Baljan pointed out that he tends to take a more cautious approach to interest rate cuts, gradually adjusting policies by observing market and economic reactions; ②The practice of "lower hiring, lower firing" currently adopted by American companies is unlikely to continue.
Did the significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve boost risk assets? Historical results are counterintuitive.
In the history of modern finance, there have been 14 complete cycles of the Federal Reserve. Although the market's reaction to interest rate cuts may vary at different times, there are some obvious trends: when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates quickly, the market performance is worse compared to a gradual interest rate cut scenario. In the scenario of rapid interest rate cuts, within one year after the first interest rate cut, the maximum drawdown is twice as much as in the scenario of gradual interest rate cuts.
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Lucky Lu : I sold all.
To buy on dip this week.