0.07Open0.07Pre Close0 Volume358 Open Interest110.00Strike Price0.00Turnover8.00%IV3.45%PremiumJan 17, 2025Expiry Date0.00Intrinsic Value100Multiplier24DDays to Expiry0.07Extrinsic Value100Contract SizeAmericanOptions Type0.0722Delta0.0625Gamma1520.00Leverage Ratio-0.0070Theta0.0051Rho109.72Eff Leverage0.0376Vega
iShares TIPS Bond ETF Stock Discussion
$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ came in second, with a position of 21.84 million shares, a position with a market capita...
I think not as the market is quite volatile now & I think that u may benefit more from a swing trading instead .
However, it is up to u :
It's early of the Oct 2022 & stocks already showing signs of rallying ?! I never expected it to be so fast for a temporary rallying... (my opinion) It's really too fast & this rally may go quite high if it started so early... = but, who knows ...
Actually, I think...
Overseas mines carrying out yuan settlement for spot trades at ports.
BHP hailed recently its first shipment of yuan-based spot trade iron ore to dock at a port in East China's Shandong Province.
The arrival marks the official beginning of BHP's Shanghai branch, a wholly-owned subsidiary, since it was recently established to better serve clients in China, the largest iron ore importer in the world. ...
This phenomenon seems to be a trend everywhere, from the consequences of the excessive money printing from the already buoyant economy of the US to the resilient sector of the UK. For instance, the US inflation for April came in at 8.3% while the CPI for UK rose by 9% in the 12 months to April 2022.
Conventional macro-economic t...
There are two versions of the CPIs that measure inflation from diff...
Here's the best asset to own when inflation.
Oil's inflation-times rise is also more than any other major asset class the bank looked at. Oil's gain during inflationary periods is also roughly three-times higher than the average 12% rise of all 15 assets Wells Fargo studied.
$United States Oil Fund LP (USO.US)$ a major ETF t...
$iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG.US)$ $iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return ETN (DJP.US)$ $SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF (BIL.US)$
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Large caps, total market ETFs keep adding
The $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ led inflows on the period, with $1.16 billion added, while the $iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM.US)$ and $Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI.US)$added $996 million and $855 million, respectively.
Fears over inflation in the U.S. sent some assets abroad, with the $Ishares Trust Core Msci Eafe Etf (IEFA.US)$ taking in $822 million.
Defensive ETFs also peppered the top inflows list, with inflation in mind. The $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ took in $851 million, while the $iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP.US)$ added $615 million.
Growth, junk bonds hammered
The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ was the biggest loser from flows in the period, as investors pulled nearly $2.5 billion from the oldest ETF in the U.S. The $iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV.US)$ found itself losing $706 million, as investors lessened their exposure to the index.
High yield bonds were not in vogue either. The $Ishares Iboxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Etf (HYG.US)$ saw $1.13 billion in outflows, while the $SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK.US)$ lost $454 million.
Source: ETF.com
"We calculate that a bubble driven by current central bank real yield repression may take the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$to 5,500 mid-2022 and 6,750 mid-2023, creating a systemic risk when it bursts," Stifel says.
Real rates saw a jump higher yesterday, but are still historically low. The 10-year inflation-protected $iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP.US)$is at -0.98%.
There have been just two equity bubbles in Wall Street's history: 1928-1928 and 1998-1999 and "neither ended well for stock or economic conditions," Stifel says.
Now, a third bubble is "percolating," the team adds.
The question is whether the Federal Reserve will lean against the risk of a bubble or just let asset prices rip, "magnifying financial risk when it bursts."
What can the Fed do? Watching the 10-year real yield is key to assessing market risk and the possibility of an S&P correction, Stifel says.
Stifel says that to forestall risk, the Fed may "tilt more hawkish while at the same time the Biden/Yellen duo may support the stronger dollar ( $USD (USDindex.FX)$) that accompanies such a Fed shift (a strong dollar subdues energy & food inflation in a supply-constrained inflation environment and improves the chances that BBB overcomes inflation concerns among Senate moderates, while also affecting the timing of a reconciliation bill to lift the U.S. debt ceiling)."
"This combination of factors may raise U.S. real yields and lower the S&P 500 P/E."
Watch Cyclicals and Defensives. Cyclical stocks have led the market rebound from the pandemic low on an equal-weight basis.
Actions like the above by the Fed and administration would cut into the reflation that favors Cyclicals over Defensives.
Stifel recommends going overweight some defensive stocks in sectors like Utilities ( $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$), Consumer Staples ( $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP.US)$) and Health Care ( $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$) for the current quarter and Q1 2022.
They underweight some cyclical subsectors in Financials ( $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF.US)$), Energy ( $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE.US)$) and Materials ( $Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB.US)$).
BMO says that the still-hot tech sector can outperform next year, even with rising rates.
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