TLH Ishares Trust 10-20 Year Treasury Bd Etf
- 103.495
- -0.295-0.28%
US stocks closed with all three major indices falling, with the S&P Nasdaq index seeing its largest weekly decline in three months. Technology stocks weakened, with Tesla down more than 4%, Nvidia down more than 2%, and CrowdStrike down more than 11%.
Investors accelerated their escape from technology stocks, with stocks and bonds in Europe and the United States being hit hard for two days. This week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by about 2% and 3.7%, respectively. The Nasdaq stopped its six-week continuous rise, while the Dow and small-cap indices rose by 0.7% and 1.7%, respectively. Chip stocks fell more than 3% on Friday and nearly 9% for the week. Nvidia also fell more than 8.7% for the past three months, making it the worst performer. The "seven sisters of technology" all fell for the week, and cybersecurity leader Crowdstrike, which triggered a global technology outage, fell 11% on Friday, the worst in nearly two years. The VIX panic index rose more than 32% for the week.
Two officials of the Federal Reserve indicated that it is necessary to reform the discount window tool.
Boorman, a director of the Federal Reserve, and Logan, the president of the Dallas Federal Reserve, suggested that the Federal Reserve should assess to what extent its emergency lending tools can meet the liquidity needs of the banking system, implying the need to reform the discount window.
Fed Rate Cuts Aren't Imminent as Labor Market Data Comes With Caveats - Vanguard
Underlying Details of 20-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Auction Were Strong
0605 GMT - Demand for the U.S. Treasury's $13 billion auction of 20-year bonds on Wednesday slowed from the previous auction, which had particularly strong statistics, but the underlying details
BofA Survey Reveals Views on the Economy, Recession Thoughts, and Monetary Policy
Yield Curve: US30Y Jumps Above the US2Y for the First Time Since Late January
Greater Prospects of Trump Winning Election Could Push Up U.S. Treasury Yields -- Market Talk
A potentially higher possibility of Donald Trump winning the November presidential elections following an assasination attempt against him over the weekend could drive up U.S. Treasury yields, especially long-dated yields, UniCredit Research analysts say in a note.
Trump Shooting Offers Test for Stock Market as Investors Weigh His Election Odds Now
Markets have been taking their cue from the probability of Trump's election victory.
It's Time for the Fed to End the Waiting Game
Why wait until September? That is the question hanging over markets after Thursday's surprisingly weak inflation reading. There doesn't seem to be much reason for the Federal Reserve
Fed's First Rate Cut Will Most Likely Come in September - SA Sentiment Survey
Wells Fargo Calls for an Oversold Bounce Rather Than a Market Rotation
U.S. Treasury Investors Look to Be in Bond-Positive Mood -- Market Talk
Investors on the primary market for U.S. government bonds seem to be leaning toward the bond-positive view, Elmar Voelker, senior fixed income analyst at LBBW, says in a note. Admittedly, the post-CPI 30-year bond auction on Thursday was somewhat slow, while the most recent auction of 10-year Treasurys didn't meet quite as much demand as its predecessor in June, even though the bid-to-cover ratio was above the long-term average, he says.
The Nasdaq fell nearly 2%, with the largest selling volume of the 'Seven Sisters' in a year and a half, while small caps and Chinese concept stocks surged, and US bonds rose sharply.
Comprehensive cooling of US inflation, September rate cut betting pushing US stocks rotation, S&P and Nasdaq ended seven-day consecutive gains and moved away from their highs, Tesla plummeted 8.4%, the worst in nearly half a year and stopped 11-day consecutive gains, Nvidia fell 5.6%, and the chip index fell 3.5%. The Russell 2000 small-cap stocks rose 3.6%, the best since November last year and the highest in two and a half years, and the worst-performing real estate sector this year had the largest increase in the year. US bond yields fell sharply across the board, with the US dollar falling the deepest in two months. The yen rose by 2.6% at one point, the biggest gain since the end of 2022, and anonymous officials confirmed that the government intervened to rescue the currency.
How do high officials of the Federal Reserve view the significant cooling of inflation in the USA?
Two senior officials from the Federal Reserve spoke on Thursday, stating that inflation is making progress. The president of the St. Louis Reserve stated that the current policy interest rate is appropriate at this stage. The president of the San Francisco Reserve stated that given recent employment and inflation data, the Federal Reserve may need to make interest rate adjustments, but did not provide a specific schedule for rate cuts.
"Xinmei Federal Reserve News Agency" evaluates CPI in June: Mild inflation opens the door for a rate cut in September.
According to Timiraos' article, after the release of CPI, investors have increased the possibility of rate cuts in September, November, and December this year. A major question at this month's Fed meeting is how much basis Fed officials have laid for a rate cut in September. This year's FOMC voter, President of the San Francisco Fed, Daly, expects that it may be reasonable to cut interest rates soon after the announcement of the CPI, but also said that more information needs to be collected.
US Treasury Yields Plummet as Inflation Surprises, Fed Dovish Bets Grow
US Treasury bond yields tanked on Thursday after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed a surprise fall in inflation before Wall Street opened.
Even with a significant drop in inflation in the United States, it was not enough to save the dismal sale of ultra-long-term US Treasury auctions. The 30-year government bonds performed poorly.
There was a significant tail yield difference in this auction, with both bidding multiples and overseas demand being weak. Analysts say that this was a very bad auction, on a day when the U.S. CPI dropped sharply and the yield curve plummeted, auction results pushed the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield up 2 basis points from its intra-day low, hovering slightly above the 4.18% level.
US2Y and US10Y Drop to the Lowest Levels Since March as Inflation Data Cools
Traders are betting heavily on a rebound in US bonds before the CPI is announced.
Bond investors who have been preparing for a rebound in the US bond market are seeking support from the June CPI data to be released on Thursday in the USA.
A Bond Rally Is Coming. This Time, Main Street Is Ready
By Ian Salisbury Suddenly, the bond rally that failed to arrive in 2024 doesn't seem so far off. And for once Main Street investors, who have been pouring money into bond funds, seem poised to