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Goldman Sachs bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates six times in a row! A graphical interpretation of Wall Street investment banks' latest interest rate forecasts.
①Among the investment banks that have recently updated their forecasts, without exception, all generally expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next month; ②In their year-end outlook, only Citigroup believes that the Fed's December meeting may once again cut rates by 50 basis points, while other investment banks all expect the rate cut at the December meeting to remain at 25 basis points.
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仁者無敵的麥吉爾 : Is it useful to look at the technical aspects? TLT Or let's look at the policy side, how much the Fed cuts matters.
Derpy Trades OP 仁者無敵的麥吉爾 : I like to look at both. I see the technicals as a reflection of current market sentiment. If sentiment changes due to a fundamental catalyst, key levels can be broken depending on whether it was a positive or negative catalyst. In fact, the entire trend can change with the right catalyst. Unless the Fed is forced to turn on the money printer I suspect yields will continue to fall long term, but there are always pullbacks in markets and I am hoping to re-enter cheaper on a decent pullback. Best of luck!