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It's Time for the Fed to End the Waiting Game
By Aaron Back Why wait until September? That is the question hanging over markets after Thursday's surprisingly weak inflation reading. There doesn't seem to be much reason for the Federal Reserve
The Nasdaq fell nearly 2%, with the largest selling volume of the 'Seven Sisters' in a year and a half, while small caps and Chinese concept stocks surged, and US bonds rose sharply.
Comprehensive cooling of US inflation, September rate cut betting pushing US stocks rotation, S&P and Nasdaq ended seven-day consecutive gains and moved away from their highs, Tesla plummeted 8.4%, the worst in nearly half a year and stopped 11-day consecutive gains, Nvidia fell 5.6%, and the chip index fell 3.5%. The Russell 2000 small-cap stocks rose 3.6%, the best since November last year and the highest in two and a half years, and the worst-performing real estate sector this year had the largest increase in the year. US bond yields fell sharply across the board, with the US dollar falling the deepest in two months. The yen rose by 2.6% at one point, the biggest gain since the end of 2022, and anonymous officials confirmed that the government intervened to rescue the currency.
Falling Rates Open an Opportunity in Fixed Income
By Xavier Baraton and Willem Sels About the authors: Xavier Baraton is global chief investment officer, HSBC Asset Management. Willem Sels is global chief investment officer, HSBC Global Private
S&P 500 To Plunge More Than 20% Near Term? Top Economist Breaks Down Broader Market Vs. Small-Cap Divergence After June CPI Report
The stock market had a "buy-the-rumor, sell-the-news" move on Thursday after a tamer inflation data sent the major averages sharply lower, with the sell-off spearheaded by mega-caps and big techs.
How do high officials of the Federal Reserve view the significant cooling of inflation in the USA?
Two senior officials from the Federal Reserve spoke on Thursday, stating that inflation is making progress. The president of the St. Louis Reserve stated that the current policy interest rate is appropriate at this stage. The president of the San Francisco Reserve stated that given recent employment and inflation data, the Federal Reserve may need to make interest rate adjustments, but did not provide a specific schedule for rate cuts.
"Xinmei Federal Reserve News Agency" evaluates CPI in June: Mild inflation opens the door for a rate cut in September.
According to Timiraos' article, after the release of CPI, investors have increased the possibility of rate cuts in September, November, and December this year. A major question at this month's Fed meeting is how much basis Fed officials have laid for a rate cut in September. This year's FOMC voter, President of the San Francisco Fed, Daly, expects that it may be reasonable to cut interest rates soon after the announcement of the CPI, but also said that more information needs to be collected.
103415812 : Thank you for sharing. Not sure how long I should hold this for....
carson k 103415812: Expected to be 1 year faster and 2 years slower
lee…OP 103415812: good question, moomoo you can hold for long time, but TLT i will sell in 1-4 weeks.