US OptionsDetailed Quotes
TLT240823C96500
- 1.82
- +0.56+44.44%
15min DelayClose Aug 23 16:00 ET
2.11High1.49Low
1.70Open1.26Pre Close175 Volume1.92K Open Interest96.50Strike Price32.20KTurnover365.59%IV-0.07%PremiumAug 23, 2024Expiry Date1.89Intrinsic Value100Multiplier-1DDays to Expiry0.00Extrinsic Value100Contract SizeAmericanOptions Type0.9842Delta0.0451Gamma50.85Leverage Ratio-7.2812Theta0.0000Rho50.04Eff Leverage0.0001Vega
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Stock Discussion
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Surging stocks suggest a soft landing, rising bonds and gold signal a hard landing, falling prices for economically sensitive oil and copper point to weak global growth, and a lower USD raises doubts about international investor confidence.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
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Buying $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ is part of my strategy during impending Fed interest rate cuts. TLT holds long-term Treasury bonds, which typically benefit from falling interest rates. When the Fed cuts rates, yields on newly issued bonds tend to decrease, making existing bonds with higher yields more attractive. This can drive up the prices of long-term bonds like those in TLT, potentially leading to possible gains.
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QCEW Data Release:On August 21, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data for Q1 2024 and revised the nonfarm payroll data for March 2024 accordingly. As of the end of Q1, the QCEW showed a total of 153.58 million jobs covered by unemployment insurance, a 1.35% year-over-year increase. In comparison, the unadjusted nonfarm payrolls totaled 1...
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so far.
Bought back ASTS calls, selling LUNR calls and DJT puts as they are printing, buying AUR & a little ACHR, calls and shares, for speculation, TLT for ballast, (maybe) UVXY for hedging, buying MSTR LEAPS, keeping some cash liquid and whatever is best for SPY calls this afternoon. 🌞
Bought back ASTS calls, selling LUNR calls and DJT puts as they are printing, buying AUR & a little ACHR, calls and shares, for speculation, TLT for ballast, (maybe) UVXY for hedging, buying MSTR LEAPS, keeping some cash liquid and whatever is best for SPY calls this afternoon. 🌞
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So, the initial jobless claims came in at 227,000, well below the expected 235,000. On the surface, this seems to indicate that the U.S. economy is still holding up pretty well. But, I have to admit, the difference is quite significant, and it makes me a bit skeptical. After all, most analysts were predicting 235,000, so seeing it come in so much lower does raise an eyebrow. It's also worth noting that before the Sahm Rule was triggered, hardly an...
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At the beginning of the month, consecutive weak manufacturing PMI and non-farm payroll data sparked market concerns about a recession, leading to heightened expectations of interest rate cuts. Consequently, the U.S. Treasury yield curve shifted downward, with the 10-year yield briefly dropping below the psychological threshold of 3.8%. As global stock markets rebounded, U.S. Treasury yields also saw a slight recovery, with the current 10-year yield fluctuating b...
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In the vast ocean of the economy, data acts as a beacon guiding investors on their course. The U.S. retail sales data for July has shone a light on the market's concerns about an economic downturn, bringing a glimmer of warmth.
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The Retail Data Surprise
The U.S. retail sales data for July showed a 1.0% month-on-month increase, surpassing market expectations and our previous imaginations.
This figure not only s...
The U.S. retail sales data for July showed a 1.0% month-on-month increase, surpassing market expectations and our previous imaginations.
This figure not only s...
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What an incredible comeback by the US stock market last week!
It recovered all the losses from 5th August rough sell off. With this amazing comeback, the S&P500 is currently only 2% away from its all time high that was set in July.
So what's next from here?
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ $Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Sea (SE.US)$ $Marathon Digital (MARA.US)$ $Disney (DIS.US)$ $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust (DIA.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$
It recovered all the losses from 5th August rough sell off. With this amazing comeback, the S&P500 is currently only 2% away from its all time high that was set in July.
So what's next from here?
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ $Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Sea (SE.US)$ $Marathon Digital (MARA.US)$ $Disney (DIS.US)$ $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust (DIA.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$
From YouTube
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
Long term bond price in focus.
Long term bond price in focus.
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Sato Nagai : hard landing is not a threat to S&P, if it falls 60-70% then what? we buy it more. On the other hand inflation is not a threat to S&P either, it amplifies it's value unless there's new currency which has S&P like companies in it, I doubt it, the only thing now is you stay poor by staying sidelines and not investing, believing cash is king, timing the market etc, in the long run you need growing cashflow, it's the real king, your cashflow, not cash, then you need to constantly distribute your income to assets, not fear
Sato Nagai : and I doubt that copper price will fall significantly, I think it never will, it's rare commodity that's utilized everywhere, it doesn't mean you should trade it, trading futures is one of the way to make you poor because smart money will take it from you
Arsoni5t Sato Nagai : How do you buy when it falls 60-70% if you don't time the market and keep a cash pile though?
Sato Nagai Arsoni5t : this is the mistake I did decades ago, I kept timing the market and stay sidelines, you don't need pile of cash in the first place, but you need growing cashflow, set aside as much as you can from your cashflow into real money i.e. S&P and GLD, and this is the money you shouldn't touch at all, what I mean by saying "at all" is under no circumstances you should touch it unless it's for life critical matters, let the compounding machine works, can you tell me how much you will get if you add 1K per month at the end of 10 years with 15% annual return? if you can't stand the crash of 70% of real money, you shouldn't think of any investment and stay poor
Sato Nagai Arsoni5t : I will also reiterate, holding cash is the sure way to make you poor, because cash is kept printed out of thin air, the currency you have today may buy a meal, in the next decade the same amount can only buy a coffee, so it will lose more than 90% of it's value, that's for real