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Sato Nagai : hard landing is not a threat to S&P, if it falls 60-70% then what? we buy it more. On the other hand inflation is not a threat to S&P either, it amplifies it's value unless there's new currency which has S&P like companies in it, I doubt it, the only thing now is you stay poor by staying sidelines and not investing, believing cash is king, timing the market etc, in the long run you need growing cashflow, it's the real king, your cashflow, not cash, then you need to constantly distribute your income to assets, not fear
Sato Nagai : and I doubt that copper price will fall significantly, I think it never will, it's rare commodity that's utilized everywhere, it doesn't mean you should trade it, trading futures is one of the way to make you poor because smart money will take it from you
Arsoni5t Sato Nagai : How do you buy when it falls 60-70% if you don't time the market and keep a cash pile though?
Sato Nagai Arsoni5t : this is the mistake I did decades ago, I kept timing the market and stay sidelines, you don't need pile of cash in the first place, but you need growing cashflow, set aside as much as you can from your cashflow into real money i.e. S&P and GLD, and this is the money you shouldn't touch at all, what I mean by saying "at all" is under no circumstances you should touch it unless it's for life critical matters, let the compounding machine works, can you tell me how much you will get if you add 1K per month at the end of 10 years with 15% annual return? if you can't stand the crash of 70% of real money, you shouldn't think of any investment and stay poor
Sato Nagai Arsoni5t : I will also reiterate, holding cash is the sure way to make you poor, because cash is kept printed out of thin air, the currency you have today may buy a meal, in the next decade the same amount can only buy a coffee, so it will lose more than 90% of it's value, that's for real