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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Stock Discussion

Cow Moo-ney

Aug 24 10:27

All eyes on Nvidia

US stocks rallied across the board last Friday as Powell gave one of the clearest signals that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in Sep.
Right now, S&P 500 is just a whisker away from its all-time high.
But we have 2 key events coming up – Nvidia’s earnings and a seasonal bearish September. How should we position ourselves ahead of these events?
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT.US)$ $Marathon Digital (MARA.US)$ $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $Adobe (ADBE.US)$ $Salesforce (CRM.US)$ $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$

https://youtu.be/UITAs2Heyr8

From YouTube

Nvidia Q2 earnings preview: Will it reverse the tide in the ailing AI trade?

Detachment-Delta

Aug 23 01:23

Markets apparently can't agree on where the U.S. Economy is headed.

Surging stocks suggest a soft landing, rising bonds and gold signal a hard landing, falling prices for economically sensitive oil and copper point to weak global growth, and a lower USD raises doubts about international investor confidence.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$

US stocks extend rally, S&P 500 hits winning streak: Is it your cue to Invest?

Sato Nagai : hard landing is not a threat to S&P, if it falls 60-70% then what? we buy it more. On the other hand inflation is not a threat to S&P either, it amplifies it's value unless there's new currency which has S&P like companies in it, I doubt it, the only thing now is you stay poor by staying sidelines and not investing, believing cash is king, timing the market etc, in the long run you need growing cashflow, it's the real king, your cashflow, not cash, then you need to constantly distribute your income to assets, not fear

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Sato Nagai : and I doubt that copper price will fall significantly, I think it never will, it's rare commodity that's utilized everywhere, it doesn't mean you should trade it, trading futures is one of the way to make you poor because smart money will take it from you

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Arsoni5t Sato Nagai : How do you buy when it falls 60-70% if you don't time the market and keep a cash pile though?

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Sato Nagai Arsoni5t : this is the mistake I did decades ago, I kept timing the market and stay sidelines, you don't need pile of cash in the first place, but you need growing cashflow, set aside as much as you can from your cashflow into real money i.e. S&P and GLD, and this is the money you shouldn't touch at all, what I mean by saying "at all" is under no circumstances you should touch it unless it's for life critical matters, let the compounding machine works, can you tell me how much you will get if you add 1K per month at the end of 10 years with 15% annual return? if you can't stand the crash of 70% of real money, you shouldn't think of any investment and stay poor

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Sato Nagai Arsoni5t : I will also reiterate, holding cash is the sure way to make you poor, because cash is kept printed out of thin air, the currency you have today may buy a meal, in the next decade the same amount can only buy a coffee, so it will lose more than 90% of it's value, that's for real

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102362254

Aug 22 13:12

Jackson Hole outlook: Pick the assets poised for attention

Buying $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ is part of my strategy during impending Fed interest rate cuts. TLT holds long-term Treasury bonds, which typically benefit from falling interest rates. When the Fed cuts rates, yields on newly issued bonds tend to decrease, making existing bonds with higher yields more attractive. This can drive up the prices of long-term bonds like those in TLT, potentially leading to possible gains.
A...

Powell Said it's Time To Cut

pyro7

Aug 22 08:14

rate cut coming

my best bet is $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$

Powell Said it's Time To Cut

Moomoo Research

Aug 22 07:39

Columns Employment Data Revisions: The Latest Insights into the U.S. Labor Market | Moomoo Research

QCEW Data Release:On August 21, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data for Q1 2024 and revised the nonfarm payroll data for March 2024 accordingly. As of the end of Q1, the QCEW showed a total of 153.58 million jobs covered by unemployment insurance, a 1.35% year-over-year increase. In comparison, the unadjusted nonfarm payrolls totaled 1...

Payrolls revised downward: Where are U.S. stocks headed?

BelleWeather

Aug 20 10:50

2024 has been a lovely year…

so far.
Bought back ASTS calls, selling LUNR calls and DJT puts as they are printing, buying AUR & a little ACHR, calls and shares, for speculation, TLT for ballast, (maybe) UVXY for hedging, buying MSTR LEAPS, keeping some cash liquid and whatever is best for SPY calls this afternoon. 🌞

Share Your Profit/Loss

Alex Wong Cian Yih

Aug 19 10:32

A Relaxed Reflection on the Market and Bold Moves

So, the initial jobless claims came in at 227,000, well below the expected 235,000. On the surface, this seems to indicate that the U.S. economy is still holding up pretty well. But, I have to admit, the difference is quite significant, and it makes me a bit skeptical. After all, most analysts were predicting 235,000, so seeing it come in so much lower does raise an eyebrow. It's also worth noting that before the Sahm Rule was triggered, hardly an...

Powell Said it's Time To Cut

Noah Johnson

Aug 19 05:27

Columns Is the U.S. Bond Bull Market Over?

At the beginning of the month, consecutive weak manufacturing PMI and non-farm payroll data sparked market concerns about a recession, leading to heightened expectations of interest rate cuts. Consequently, the U.S. Treasury yield curve shifted downward, with the 10-year yield briefly dropping below the psychological threshold of 3.8%. As global stock markets rebounded, U.S. Treasury yields also saw a slight recovery, with the current 10-year yield fluctuating b...

Powell Said it's Time To Cut

Moomoo Research

Aug 18 09:27

Columns Retail Revival: U.S. Consumer Spending Surges, Easing Recession Fears | Moomoo Research

In the vast ocean of the economy, data acts as a beacon guiding investors on their course. The U.S. retail sales data for July has shone a light on the market's concerns about an economic downturn, bringing a glimmer of warmth.
The Retail Data Surprise
The U.S. retail sales data for July showed a 1.0% month-on-month increase, surpassing market expectations and our previous imaginations.
This figure not only s...

July CPI meets expectations, inflation eases: Will the expected cuts be significant?

Cow Moo-ney

Aug 18 02:35

Incredible comeback

What an incredible comeback by the US stock market last week!
It recovered all the losses from 5th August rough sell off. With this amazing comeback, the S&P500 is currently only 2% away from its all time high that was set in July.
So what's next from here?
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ $Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Sea (SE.US)$ $Marathon Digital (MARA.US)$ $Disney (DIS.US)$ $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust (DIA.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$

https://youtu.be/18kaTdxQgyY

From YouTube

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