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TLT241009P103500

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6.40
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15min DelayTrading Oct 3 12:35 ET

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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Stock Discussion

105364426

12 hours ago

Be wary of getting trapped in ETF

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$

CPI & PPI reports on the horizon: Is November rate cut in jeopardy?

Moomoo Research

Yesterday 18:09

Columns Strong U.S. Job Market Adjusts Rate Cut Expectations—Discussing Current Characteristics of the Rate Cut Cycle|Moomoo research

Overview of the Job Market
On October 4, 2024, the U.S. Labor Department released the non-farm payroll data for September 2024. The data showed that 254,000 new non-farm jobs were added in September, far exceeding the expected 140,000 and the revised previous value of 159,000. The unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, below the expected 4.2% and the previous value of 4.2%. Av...

crabhead

Yesterday 00:58

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ when would this be back

Alex Wong Cian Yih

Oct 6 11:28

The Data's Suspicions Deepen: A Closer Look at September’s NFP Numbers

As I reflected on the dramatic rise in the September 2024 Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, which added a surprising 254,000 jobs, I couldn’t help but dig deeper into what now appears to be an even more questionable report. Just when we thought the narrative around the U.S. labor market might stabilize, a critical fact has emerged: only 65% of companies responded to the survey that forms the basis of these numbers. This revelation,...

September new jobs higher than expected, is this a 'soft landing' ?

103816517

Oct 5 17:42

Share Your Profit/Loss

Alex Wong Cian Yih

Oct 5 11:10

A Sudden Surge: Should We Trust the Numbers?

The latest Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report for September 2024 came as a shocker, not just for its strength but also for the timing. In a market that had been weighed down by months of mediocre data, this sudden surge in job growth seems almost too good to be true. As I dig into the numbers, I can’t help but feel a bit skeptical. Let's break down why this recent release raises more questions than answers.
Why the Timing Feels Off
Let's start with the obv...

September new jobs higher than expected, is this a 'soft landing' ?

Derpy Trades

Oct 3 10:02

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLares 2 For now, I'm back in a LEAPS 100-strike call. We're at key support on the daily, plus this clear falling wedge pattern has formed. IF it breaks below ~95.75 I would likely sell. Upside target on this wedge is roughly 1.85 points minimum.
Best of luck!

yellowdude

Oct 2 14:38

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$Why TLT is down today??

crabhead

Sep 30 08:48

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ 99$ today

Alex Wong Cian Yih

Sep 29 06:19

The Divergence in Fed Signals: Should Investors Trust Powell or Timiraos?

On September 27, 2024, Nick Timiraos, known for his insight into the Federal Reserve’s inner workings, published a critical article discussing the Fed’s rate cuts and the possibility of achieving a soft landing. While Nick did not explicitly state that the U.S. economy is heading toward a recession, my interpretation is that his writing clearly hints at deeper concerns. Specifically, Nick’s message suggests that a soft land...

September new jobs higher than expected, is this a 'soft landing' ?

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