Countdown to the USA election various data show that Trump's chances of winning seem greater!
①Currently, data from all aspects indicate that the former US president, Trump, seems to have a better chance of winning; ②There are forecasting models showing that Trump's probability of winning surpassed Vice President Harris for the first time on October 19.
The Fed 'cheats' while Trump 'exerts force'! Emerging markets are in trouble.
①Recently, the price trends of some of the most risk-sensitive assets globally indicate that people are increasingly worried that the Fed's decision to cut interest rates sharply last month may be premature or may not be sustainable; ②At the same time, the upcoming US election is also making the market increasingly jittery and on edge.
What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Tesla and Boeing Earnings; Fed Beige Book)
US stocks rose for the sixth consecutive week, crude oil plummeted, gold and silver shone | Overseas major asset weekly report
Spot gold hit record highs twice this week, with a total weekly increase of about 2.4%, while silver rose about 7% to nearly a twelve-year high for the week. With the USA pushing for a ceasefire in Gaza, the crude oil market showed a weak performance this week. The dollar fell from an 11-week high.
No rush to cut interest rates! Federal Reserve's Bostic: Slowing down the pace can achieve dual goals.
1. The Federal Reserve should patiently and gradually lower its policy interest rate so that it can reduce the inflation rate to the target level of 2% and also prevent the US economy from falling into recession; 2. Bostonic expects that by the end of 2025, the inflation rate in the US may decrease to the target of 2% set by the Federal Reserve.
US stocks closed | S&P, Dow hit new closing highs, Netflix soared more than 11% after earnings; Chinese concept stocks rose across the board, li auto inc rose more than 6%
1. China concept stocks are up across the board, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index in China rising by 3.03%; 2. The US federal government has started investigating Tesla's FSD; 3. The US Federal Aviation Administration said it will launch a new round of safety reviews on Boeing; 4. Netflix hits a new all-time high, with the company's third-quarter performance and fourth-quarter performance guidance both exceeding market expectations.
