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暗号 : It may also be the case that the Federal Reserve is forced to taper its bond purchases.
thoughtful Bat_8163 暗号 : The likelihood is quite high
暗号 thoughtful Bat_8163 : This 'debt-ridden' US treasury product has no buyers and is seriously unsalable.
thoughtful Bat_8163 暗号 : I believe that US Treasury bonds are one of the safest assets. Currently, the price of US Treasury bonds is falling, causing the yield to rise, which simply reflects the strength of the US economy. Investing in other assets can bring higher returns, and the Federal Reserve has expressed a slowdown in the expected rate cuts, so US Treasury bonds are being sold off.
暗号 : The 100 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve has led to a 100 basis point increase in the yield of the 10-year US Treasury bond, this extreme anomaly has already emerged, meaning long-term investors have to add additional risk premium to the traditional 60:40 (stock and bond investment portfolio). For retirement funds, pension funds, and individual investors who have long relied on this investment portfolio, it is a disaster.
Long-term government bonds have weakened demand, while short-term government bond issuances have been utilized to the limit. The root of the problem lies in debt repayment capabilities, the model of using new bonds to repay old ones is increasingly being rejected, with more people in need of commodities, resources, and gold.
Any artificial suppression of yields will further weaken the credibility of the US dollar as a global reserve.
Rate cuts + balance sheet expansion, releasing liquidity to solve all problems, may no longer be effective for the USA.