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FOMC Members Signal Policy 'At or Near Peak' for Tightening Cycle
Term Premium on U.S. Treasurys Might Continue to Rise -- Market Talk
Krugman: Is the crazy nature of U.S. debt due to the market believing that Trump will go insane?
Krugman proposed that the rise in long-term interest rates, such as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, may reflect a terrifying, quietly spreading doubt that Trump actually believes the crazy things he says about economic policy and might put them into practice.
The Global bond market is experiencing a frantic sell-off, with US Treasury yields quickly approaching 5%.
The 20-year US Treasury yield has already broken through 5%, while the UK 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield has also risen to 4.82%, reaching a new high since 2008. Inflation worries have prompted traders to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England this year, and at the same time, the market is weighing the impact of President Trump's policies.
The last time the US bonds dropped like this, the US stock market also crashed.
Recently, the rise of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is similar to the situation in 2022 and 2023, when the stock market experienced a substantial decline. Goldman Sachs stated that although the U.S. stock market is relatively stable now, the correlation between stock and bond yields has turned negative. If economic data falls short of expectations, the risk of a market correction in the short term may increase.
Consumer Cos Up After Fed Minutes Quell Some Rate Fears -- Consumer Roundup
