Trump's chances of winning the election are rising, and traders are heavily betting on the steepening of the US bond yield curve.
As Wall Street adjusts to the possibility of Trump returning to the White House, traders in the $27 trillion US bond market are betting on a rise in long-term bond yields.
Is the US labor market showing signs of losing momentum? Investors are closely watching two key reports this week.
The hot labor market has always been a key obstacle preventing the Fed from cutting interest rates.
Ten-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Expected to Fall to 4.00% on Longer Horizon -- Market Talk
TD Securities enters a long position in 10-year U.S. Treasurys at a 4.479% yield, targeting 4.00% on a strategic horizon, and with a stop-loss at 4.75%, its rates strategists say in a note.
USA bond market started off poorly in July, long-term US bonds experienced a difficult period.
The US Treasury market had a rough start in early July. Long-term US bonds experienced a difficult period as yields rose.
U.S. bond yields rose sharply again as markets weigh the risks of the U.S. election, with the yield curve steepening.
The probability of Trump returning to the White House has increased. Overnight on Monday, US bond yields rose to a new high in over a week, with long-term government bonds leading the way. The 10-year and 30-year US bond yields both rose more than 8 basis points, with the latter reaching a new high since June 3. In addition, JPMorgan expects that the possibility of Trump's reelection will increase and will support a strong US dollar.
Bond market madness returns! Investors are rushing into long-term bond ETFs, betting on the Fed's significant 300 basis points interest rate cut.
With the market's reevaluation of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations this year, investors are flocking to long-term bond ETFs for safe haven.
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares Declares Quarterly Distribution of $0.4350
The US deficit far exceeded expectations, but the 'long US bond' trade still returned.
The trading of US bonds that leaned long in the past week has rebounded significantly. According to a JPMorgan bond customer survey, in the week ended June 17th, the long position of US bonds rose by 6 percentage points, pushing the net long position to the highest level since May 20th. The overnight weaker retail data further fueled the rise in US bond prices and diving yields.
Treasury Yields Fall Amid Signs of Cooling U.S. Prices -- Market Talk
1534 ET - Treasury yields fall as signs accumulate that U.S. inflation could be cooling faster than expected. Producer prices contracted 0.2% in May, following yesterday's CPI downward surprise. Even
Slowing U.S. Inflation Expected to Open Up Opportunities in Bond Markets
0658 GMT - Slowing U.S. inflation is likely to coincide with a broader pullback in U.S. economic growth, and the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate-cut time frame highlights potential fixed-income opp
Express News | US April Core PCE Price Index YoY 2.8% Vs 2.8% Forecast, Prior 2.8%
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were “hawked” and the US debt fell slightly
The minutes of the US Federal Reserve's May meeting released on Wednesday showed that many policymakers questioned whether the policy was strict enough to reduce inflation to the target level. Affected by this, US debt fell, with short-term US debt leading the decline.
Bond traders cut bets on the Fed's interest rate cut, and US debt bears are back on the rise
Traders remain cautious and wait for more data to confirm that inflation is moving in the right direction, while waiting for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes of the May meeting to be released on Wednesday to provide new clues about the Federal Reserve's policy path.
Will ultra-long-term US bonds usher in a “bear market reversal”? Bank of America: 30Y US bonds are the “best hedge” to prevent a hard landing
Bank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett said that returns on 30-year US Treasury bonds have been extremely poor in recent years, but that may change this year.
30Y Treasury Bond Is 'best Hedge' Against a Hard Landing - BofA's Hartnett
Express News | US Apr. CPI YoY 3.4% Vs 3.4% Forecast, Prior 3.5%
Bond traders wait for CPI to boost gains
Nothing will determine the direction of the US bond market more than monthly inflation data this year. This week was no exception.
Wall Street's Zero-Day Options Frenzy Continues: Is It a Ticking Time Bomb?
As Wall Street's infatuation with rapid-fire stock options approaches its two-year mark, a Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey indicates the trend's momentum may not be waning, even though concerns of an eventual market crash loom among industry participants.
The Federal Reserve's “pigeon dispute” is intense, and traders carefully weigh the next steps after the US debt bears ebb
The direction of the Federal Reserve's policy this year is still very controversial, and interest rate traders are afraid to make big bets.
The US Treasury's “debt issuance wave” is here! The global equity market is facing a major test
Powell's less aggressive rhetoric and weak employment last week boosted global bond prices; the US will issue $125 billion of 3-year, 10-year, and 30-year treasury bonds this week.