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Is the US labor market showing signs of losing momentum? Investors are closely watching two key reports this week.
The hot labor market has always been a key obstacle preventing the Fed from cutting interest rates.
Ten-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Expected to Fall to 4.00% on Longer Horizon -- Market Talk
TD Securities enters a long position in 10-year U.S. Treasurys at a 4.479% yield, targeting 4.00% on a strategic horizon, and with a stop-loss at 4.75%, its rates strategists say in a note.
U.S. bond yields rose sharply again as markets weigh the risks of the U.S. election, with the yield curve steepening.
The probability of Trump returning to the White House has increased. Overnight on Monday, US bond yields rose to a new high in over a week, with long-term government bonds leading the way. The 10-year and 30-year US bond yields both rose more than 8 basis points, with the latter reaching a new high since June 3. In addition, JPMorgan expects that the possibility of Trump's reelection will increase and will support a strong US dollar.
Bond market madness returns! Investors are rushing into long-term bond ETFs, betting on the Fed's significant 300 basis points interest rate cut.
With the market's reevaluation of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations this year, investors are flocking to long-term bond ETFs for safe haven.
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares Declares Quarterly Distribution of $0.4350
The US deficit far exceeded expectations, but the 'long US bond' trade still returned.
The trading of US bonds that leaned long in the past week has rebounded significantly. According to a JPMorgan bond customer survey, in the week ended June 17th, the long position of US bonds rose by 6 percentage points, pushing the net long position to the highest level since May 20th. The overnight weaker retail data further fueled the rise in US bond prices and diving yields.