No longer a case of "The Boy Who Cried Wolf"? The New York Federal Reserve comments that this time, "Powell Pivot" will be more sustainable than at the end of last year.
Nowadays, the threshold for Fed rate cuts is lower than in previous months and the situation has changed. Powell believes that inflation is returning to normal and the labor market is clearly weakening, further weakness is unnecessary and unwanted.
Yellen and Powell agree: the US labor market is weakening the push for inflation, and inflation pressures may continue to ease.
The current labor market is no longer the primary factor driving inflation in the US economy, as it was in the early stages of the pandemic recovery.
Citigroup and JPMorgan's bullish US bond trading strategy is expected to receive further boost from CPI.
Before this important inflation data is released this week, some Wall Street giants believe that trading strategies that are expected to take the upper hand this year are gathering momentum.
USD: Inflation and Powell in Focus This Week – ING
The dollar is modestly stronger out of the weekend as a surprise win of the left-wing alliance in the French second-round legislative elections sent European currencies lower and fuelled some safe-haven demand, with the Japanese Yen (JPY) and Swiss franc (CHF) rising, ING’s analyst Francesco Pesole suggests.
Bullish on the big transaction, causing a buzz in the market. This is probably the most important trade in the second half of the year.
Wall Street major banks have collectively spoken out, stating that the normalization of the US yield curve - where the slope becomes steeper - will be the most important trade in the second half of this year.
From "to cut or not to cut interest rates" to "who will be elected", predicting this business has become popular!
From new movie reviews to key economic data, from Federal Reserve rate cuts to US elections... Predicting markets is quietly rising.
The US Federal Reserve has been slow to cut interest rates, and the size of the US money market has surpassed 6.15 trillion US dollars, reaching a new high.
In the week ending on the 2nd, there was a inflow of approximately $51.2 billion into the US fund market, the largest inflow in three months. Some analysts pointed out that as long as the Federal Reserve continues to hold steady, funds will continue to flow into currency funds.
The US election has stirred up the market! The speculation around Biden's withdrawal continues to ferment, and Wall Street turns to 'Trump's trade'.
Traders are adjusting their positions.
Trump's chances of winning the election are rising, and traders are heavily betting on the steepening of the US bond yield curve.
As Wall Street adjusts to the possibility of Trump returning to the White House, traders in the $27 trillion US bond market are betting on a rise in long-term bond yields.
Is the US labor market showing signs of losing momentum? Investors are closely watching two key reports this week.
The hot labor market has always been a key obstacle preventing the Fed from cutting interest rates.
Ten-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Expected to Fall to 4.00% on Longer Horizon -- Market Talk
TD Securities enters a long position in 10-year U.S. Treasurys at a 4.479% yield, targeting 4.00% on a strategic horizon, and with a stop-loss at 4.75%, its rates strategists say in a note.
USA bond market started off poorly in July, long-term US bonds experienced a difficult period.
The US Treasury market had a rough start in early July. Long-term US bonds experienced a difficult period as yields rose.
U.S. bond yields rose sharply again as markets weigh the risks of the U.S. election, with the yield curve steepening.
The probability of Trump returning to the White House has increased. Overnight on Monday, US bond yields rose to a new high in over a week, with long-term government bonds leading the way. The 10-year and 30-year US bond yields both rose more than 8 basis points, with the latter reaching a new high since June 3. In addition, JPMorgan expects that the possibility of Trump's reelection will increase and will support a strong US dollar.
Bond market madness returns! Investors are rushing into long-term bond ETFs, betting on the Fed's significant 300 basis points interest rate cut.
With the market's reevaluation of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations this year, investors are flocking to long-term bond ETFs for safe haven.
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares Declares Quarterly Distribution of $0.4350
The US deficit far exceeded expectations, but the 'long US bond' trade still returned.
The trading of US bonds that leaned long in the past week has rebounded significantly. According to a JPMorgan bond customer survey, in the week ended June 17th, the long position of US bonds rose by 6 percentage points, pushing the net long position to the highest level since May 20th. The overnight weaker retail data further fueled the rise in US bond prices and diving yields.
Treasury Yields Fall Amid Signs of Cooling U.S. Prices -- Market Talk
1534 ET - Treasury yields fall as signs accumulate that U.S. inflation could be cooling faster than expected. Producer prices contracted 0.2% in May, following yesterday's CPI downward surprise. Even
Slowing U.S. Inflation Expected to Open Up Opportunities in Bond Markets
0658 GMT - Slowing U.S. inflation is likely to coincide with a broader pullback in U.S. economic growth, and the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate-cut time frame highlights potential fixed-income opp
Express News | US April Core PCE Price Index YoY 2.8% Vs 2.8% Forecast, Prior 2.8%
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were “hawked” and the US debt fell slightly
The minutes of the US Federal Reserve's May meeting released on Wednesday showed that many policymakers questioned whether the policy was strict enough to reduce inflation to the target level. Affected by this, US debt fell, with short-term US debt leading the decline.