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The suspense of the Fed's interest rate cut in September may have to wait until the last moment to be revealed! The U.S. stock market wants to see a 25 basis point cut.
The latest employment data did not resolve the market's debate over the extent of the Fed's interest rate cut in September; however, the employment report did intensify concerns about a cooling labor market.
The theory of "bad news = good news" is gradually disintegrating, and the US stock market is returning to a classic framework: driven by performance and the economy.
Wall Street traders suddenly focus on future economic risks; stocks resume selling off after decoupling from bonds and csi commodity equity index, jpmorgan's model shows different economic recession probabilities across different assets.
usa Qualcomm inflation whistle-blower: non-farm report is not particularly bad, 50% probability of a 25/50 basis point rate cut on September.
Summers said that the August non-farm employment report in the United States was not particularly bad. The numbers in the non-farm report definitely didn't show any obvious weakness, but if there are concerns about the recent trend in statistics, they definitely did not provide evidence of a healthy economy.
Record volume! The heavyweight employment report and the high-ranking officials of the Fed "ignite the wind," betting on a surge in futures trading.
In August, the United States added fewer non-farm jobs than expected. Federal Reserve official Bullard, one of the most influential officials, said that it is crucial to start cutting interest rates in September and has an open attitude towards the magnitude and speed of the rate cut. "New Federal Reserve News Agency" interpreted Bullard's speech as indicating his inclination to support an initial 25 basis point rate cut.
Express News | US Aug. Non-Farm Payrolls +142000 Vs +160000 Forecast, Prior +89000; US Aug. Unemployment Rate 4.2% Vs 4.2% Forecast, Prior 4.3%
Just finished directing 'Black Monday' last month! How will the financial markets spend Nonfarm Night tonight?
On this big day, which can be considered a "battle of the king of stocks, bonds, and the foreign exchange market," what kind of answer will the August non-farm data give to the market? Will the data performance be as "shocking" as last month? How will the markets of various asset classes perform tonight?
nekotaro : I think it will go down. Let’s see