Major risks in November are undergoing significant changes.
Less than a month away from the US election day on November 5th, the market is beginning to price in the risk of the election results. Currently, Trump has regained a leading advantage, adding uncertainty to the election. China International Capital Corporation believes that for future assets, the overall election is bullish for US stocks but tariffs are unfavorable for Chinese assets; the US dollar is relatively strong, gold is neutral, interest rates are rising; bulk commodities may benefit from expectations of Trump's stimulus.
Financial Sector Leads US Stock Market To New Heights
The Biggest Problem Trump and Harris Aren't Talking About
Wall Street bond issuance frenzy is coming! Six major banks will wildly distribute $20 billion in bonds next week?
Wall Street banks are expected to launch a series of bond issuances next week to take advantage of ultra-low credit spreads and strong investor demand.
Treasury Yields Mixed as Data Point in Different Directions -- Market Talk
10-Year Yield Climbs to 4.1% as Traders Mull Fed's Next Rate Move After CPI Data
Express News | US Sep. CPI YoY +2.4% Vs +2.3% Forecast, Prior +2.5%
CICC: The "turning point" of the Sino-US cycle has emerged, where are the new opportunities for asset allocation?
The changes in the cycles of usa and china have already given birth to the asset 'crossing point'. The changes in the cycles of usa and china have brought about relatively certain crossing points, including short-term debt in the usa, real estate chains, and export chains in china, with Hong Kong stocks (especially growth stocks) outperforming A shares.
10-year US Treasury yield hits a new 10-week high intraday, mixed feelings about long-term US Treasury auctions.
The US Department of the Treasury auctions 10-year Treasury bonds with a bid yield of 4.066%, significantly soaring from last month's 3.648%, and the bid-to-cover ratio is lower than the recent average. Surprisingly strong overseas demand. Before the auction results were released, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds rose to an intraday high of 4.07%, and after the results were announced, the yield remained largely unchanged.
US Treasury bonds are facing another "painful trade", how do you view the yield reaching 4% this time?
Analysts believe that interest rates in the usa will not return to pre-pandemic levels, but will face stronger nominal economic growth and inflation, signaling the end of the low interest rate era. The 10-year yield rate is closely related to crude oil product prices, with oil prices soaring by 16% since September, also driving up yields.
"Global asset pricing anchor" screams! Are US bond bears sounding the assembly call?
①With the 10-year US Treasury yield, known as the "anchor of global asset pricing," returning to above the 4% level this week; ②More and more traders are beginning to worry that the US Treasury market will further give back earlier gains this year; ③Because they expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at a slower pace before the end of the year.
Treasury Yields Settle Mixed as Fed Repricing Fizzles -- Market Talk
Just two days! The expectation of a 50 basis point rate cut was shattered as the 10-year US Treasury yield returned above 4%.
1. On Monday this week, the sharp drop in the US Treasury market further intensified, and the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond returned above the 4% level, reaching its highest level since August; 2. Due to the unexpectedly strong US employment report announced last Friday, traders are forced to reevaluate their predictions for the outlook of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
U.S. Hiring Might Be Cooler Than It Seems
US stocks collectively fell by about 1%, with Chinese concept stocks rebounding in a V-shape, US bond yields rising above 4%, and oil prices rising by nearly 4%.
USA stocks and bonds both fell, with the Dow down 400 points, Tesla down 3.7%, Nvidia up over 2%, Chinese concept stocks fell nearly 3% before closing higher, Alibaba and Tencent ADRs rose 2.6%, Li Auto Inc. rose over 4%. The two-year US treasury yield rose nearly 10 basis points, breaking above 4% for the first time since August for both the 2-year and 10-year treasury yields, with the US dollar hovering at a seven-week high since August 16. Brent crude oil closed above $80, reaching a six-week high along with WTI oil climbing above $77. Silver briefly fell more than 2.4%.
The Fed May Not Cut Rates In November. What to Do With Treasury Bonds Now. -- Barrons.com
After the unexpectedly strong non-farm data, bond traders are preparing to deal with the scenario of the US economy not landing.
The unexpectedly strong September non-farm employment report in the USA has led to a sharp rise in US bond yields, making the 'no landing' scenario once again a hot topic in the bond market. The 'no landing' scenario is constraining the Fed's room for interest rate cuts, further dampening the buying frenzy for US bonds.
Treasury Yields Rise As Fed Repricing Goes On -- Market Talk
Amid unexpectedly strong non-farm data, the benchmark US bond yield touched 4% for the first time since August.
Usa Treasury bonds continued last week's decline, falling on Monday, with the yield on 10-year US bonds rising by 4 basis points to 4.01% and the yield on 2-year US bonds rising by 8 basis points to 4%.
Express News | US Sep. Non-Farm Payrolls +254000 Vs +140000 Forecast, Prior +159000; US Sep. Unemployment Rate 4.1% Vs 4.2% Forecast, Prior 4.2%