Tonight! The last piece of potentially market-exploding data from the USA in 2024 is here.
① The USA's November CPI data, which will be released tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, can be metaphorically described as "the last heavyweight economic Indicator of the USA for 2024", which does not seem exaggerated. ② With the Federal Reserve's December monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week, tonight's CPI is expected to serve as an important basis for the Fed's critical decision on whether or not to cut interest rates...
Imminent! A giant has once again issued a warning to the governments of Europe and the United States regarding debt, this time it is the central bank of central banks!
This week, major players intensively warned about the debt issues in Europe and the United States. Following bond giant Pimco and Bridgewater's Dalio, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), known as the central bank of central banks, recently stated that government borrowing habits pose the greatest danger to Global economic stability. The surge in government debt supply could exacerbate instability in financial markets, and the recent changes in market sentiment should be viewed as warning signals.
Treasury Yields Rise Ahead of November's Consumer Price Index -- Market Talk
When the U.S. stock market is infatuated with Trump, U.S. bonds have fallen in love with Besant...
① The usa national debt market, which has reached a scale of 28 trillion dollars, seems to be becoming increasingly "politicized"; ② If the continuous record highs of the us stock market after the usa elections indicate that the bull market is "fond of" Trump, then the current bond market seems to have "fallen in love with" Bessent.
12/9 [Strength and Weakness Materials]
[Bullish and Bearish Factors] Bullish factors: nasdaq composite index is rising (19859.77, +159.05), 1 dollar = 150.00-10 yen, Chicago Nikkei futures are rising (39335, +305), SOX index is rising (5061.30, +34.93), VIX index is decreasing (12.77, -0.77), US long-term interest rates are falling, active share buybacks, request from Tokyo Stock Exchange for enhancing corporate value. Bearish factors: Nikkei average is declining (39091.17, -304.43), NY Dow Jones Industrial Average is declining (44
The usa stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets are all under pressure: no one dares to act rashly before the non-farm payrolls battle!
Before the key non-farm employment data from the usa is released this Friday, both the rise of US stocks and the dollar showed signs of stalling on Thursday, while the US bond market was also caught in a weak consolidation pattern; for a moment, it seemed that no one on Wall Street dared to take any rash actions.
Goldman: December 25bp Rate Cut Expected, but Easing May Slow Sooner
Global Stocks Rise to Record on Powell, Bonds Gain
Allianz Investment: The Fed starts a rate cut cycle, and short-term high yield bonds in the USA can provide stable returns for investors.
Chen Jiaying said that short-term high yield bonds in the usa can provide investors with an attractive option. The main reason is that the coupon yield of short-term high yield bonds is higher than that of high-rated bonds, with relatively lower volatility.
U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Expected to Steepen -- Market Talk
Fed's Kugler Says Immigration, Productivity Gains Have Strengthened Economy
10-year Treasury Yield Edges Higher as Investors Await Economic Data, Fed Speeches
Treasuries Drop as Market Braces for Big Data Week, Fed Speakers
Treasury Yields Rise To Start Payrolls Week -- Market Talk
Treasuries Start Week on Back Foot Ahead of Crucial Jobs Data
12/2 [Strengths and Weaknesses Materials]
[Bullish/Bearish Factors] Bullish factors: Dow Jones Industrial Average is up at 44910.65 (+188.59), Nasdaq Composite Index is up at 19218.17 (+157.69), Chicago Nikkei Futures is up at 38300 (+130), SOX Index is up at 4926.56 (+73.55), VIX Index is down at 13.51 (-0.39), US long-term interest rates are down, active share buybacks, request for enhancing corporate value by TSE. Bearish factors: Nikkei Average is down at 38208.03 (-141.03)
Yen Strengthens on Dollar as US Bond Yields Fall: Markets Wrap
Japanese Yen Expected to Slide as US Policy Drives Dollar Higher - BofA
Bond-market Investors Look to Fed Minutes for a Crucial Rate Clue
What does Treasury Secretary Yellen mean by US taxation, interest rates, and US debt?
Analysis shows that, in terms of tax policies, attention is focused on Bezent's testimony at the hearing; Bezent's remarks have little impact on interest rates, the key is how much the White House can leverage Bezent's reputation to prevent bond market fluctuations, Bezent may use 'unconventional' measures regarding the US debt ceiling issue. In addition, he will also play an important role in cryptocurrency regulation.