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Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF Newsroom
Stocks Rise Monday, Tech Leads Ahead of Holiday Shortened Week | Wall Street Today
What does the Federal Reserve's "Skip" mean for the market?
Citi Research found that during the period when the Federal Reserve pauses interest rate cuts, the U.S. stock market usually performs well, but the sustainability of the rise depends on whether economic weakness leads to a restart of policy easing; U.S. Treasury rates usually rise at the pause or end of the cycle; for the dollar, if the interest rate cuts are only paused, the dollar performs laterally, if it is the last interest rate cut, the dollar will rise; after the pause, regardless of whether the easing cycle continues, Gold prices usually rise.
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In October, China's holdings of US Treasury bonds hit their lowest level in over 15 years! Is the trend of reducing US Treasury bonds beginning to spread Global?
① On Thursday local time, the USA Treasury released the International Capital Flow Report (TIC) for October 2024; ② The report showed that the amount of US Treasury bonds held by foreign investors ended five consecutive months of growth in October; ③ Led by Japan and China, as many as seven of the top ten "creditors" of the USA chose to reduce their Shareholding that month. Meanwhile, China's US Treasury Hold Positions further hit a new low since 2009.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish actions have triggered a significant change in U.S. Treasury bonds! The yield curve has reached its steepest point since 2022.
Long-term USA government bonds weakened on Thursday, causing the yield curve to steepen significantly, returning to levels seen about 30 months ago.
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Morgan Stanley: The results of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting and forward guidance are more hawkish than expected.
According to the committee's median, it is currently only expected that there will be two rate cuts in 2025, two rate cuts in 2026, and one rate cut in 2027.
Pryce: It is expected that medium to long-term USA treasury yields will rise, and the yield curve will become steeper.
With the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts setting a lower limit for short-term yields, it is still expected that medium- and long-term Treasury yields will rise, leading to a steeper yield curve.
Huachuang Securities: The Federal Reserve signals a pause in interest rate cuts, Emerging Markets MMF and CSI Commodity Equity Index have room for further decline.
In the December interest rate meeting, the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut of 25 basis points, and the overnight reverse repo rate was lowered by 5 basis points. The latest dot plot indicates that the Federal Reserve may cut rates twice in 2025.