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15min DelayClose Jul 17 16:00 ET

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ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF Stock Discussion

BullnBearTrading

15 hours ago

Powell Talks “Rate Cuts Don’t Need 2% Inflation,” While Wall Street Worries About Core Inflation Overshoot

Morgan Stanley believes the stickiness of US inflation has dissipated. PCE inflation may fall below 2% in the second half, and the argument for higher equilibrium inflation has vanished. Investors may worry if policy is too tight, predicting the Fed might cut rates seven times in the next year. However, if Trump returns to the White House and the Republicans gain control, inflation could reb...

US inflation cools again: Will it pave the way for a rate cut?

BullnBearTrading

16 hours ago

Trump’s VP Pick: Vance

Born in 1984, Vance is a “country boy,” isolationist, and economic populist who once called Trump Hitler. Vance’s political views align with Trump’s; he opposes aid to Ukraine, supports economic nationalism, and believes free trade has destroyed US manufacturing.
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Trump rally incident: How will markets react?

Lachlan Forrester

17 hours ago

Short.

$ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF(TQQQ.US)$

BullnBearTrading

20 hours ago

Trump: No Plan to Dismiss Powell Before November

In an interview, Trump stated he would not seek to remove Powell from his position as Fed Chairman before his term ends, especially if he thinks Powell is doing the right thing. Trump also mentioned that the Fed should avoid cutting rates before the November US presidential election.
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Trump rally incident: How will markets react?

BullnBearTrading

20 hours ago

US June Retail Data Exceeds Expectations

Excluding automobiles, retail sales grew at the highest month-over-month rate in three months. June retail sales growth was 0% month-over-month, better than the expected -0.3%. May retail sales growth was revised up from 0.1% to 0.3%.
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US inflation cools again: Will it pave the way for a rate cut?

BullnBearTrading

Jul 16 02:21

Analyst: “Rate Cut Trade” Might Not Be What You Expect

While the “anti-inflation” report appears perfect, the reality of the “rate cut trade” might not be as expected.
Firstly, post-pandemic inflation seasonal factors may exaggerate the slowdown in core inflation.
Secondly, oil, cars, and housing—three main factors slowing inflation—do not reflect weakened demand.
Thirdly, the labor market remains robust, and unfavorable inflation factors will increase monthly.
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US inflation cools again: Will it pave the way for a rate cut?

BullnBearTrading

Jul 15 23:35

Trump Trade Indicator: US Treasury Yield Curve

During the US election process, if Trump gains the upper hand, the US Treasury yield curve is expected to steepen. Markets believe that Trump’s potential presidency would lead to higher US inflation and increased government fiscal deficits, resulting in rising long-term interest rates.
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Trump rally incident: How will markets react?

BullnBearTrading

Jul 15 22:23

Goldman Sachs: The Fed Has “Sufficient Reason” to Cut Rates in July

Goldman Sachs argues that the Fed will soon begin cutting rates. The market almost fully expects a rate cut in September, which remains Goldman’s base case, but they believe there is sufficient reason for a cut as early as the July meeting. Goldman presents three main reasons for this:
Firstly, if the reason for cutting rates is clear, why wait seven weeks to implement it?
Secondly, monthly inflation fluctuations can be signi...

US inflation cools again: Will it pave the way for a rate cut?

BullnBearTrading

Jul 15 21:44

Powell's Continued Dovish Tone

Powell reiterated that recent inflation data was “quite good,” suggesting there’s no need to wait until it drops to 2% to cut rates. The “Fed whisperer” commented that Powell’s latest remarks imply rate cuts are imminent, although he did not reveal specific timing, which does not alter market expectations for a pause at the July meeting. Some analysts believe a rate cut in September is most likely. Powell also noted that if the labor market weakens unexpectedly, it ...

US inflation cools again: Will it pave the way for a rate cut?

BullnBearTrading

Jul 15 04:50

China Merchants Securities: "Trump Trade" Coming Earlier with Less Volatility

Based on current election conditions, the most likely scenario is Trump becoming president with the Republican party controlling both houses of Congress. Trump would face fewer obstacles in implementing tariffs, income tax cuts, and anti-immigration policies, which could benefit U.S. profits but might trigger another round of inflation. U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar could remain high. Trump's industry preferences ...

Trump rally incident: How will markets react?

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