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It's all Trump's fault for not taking a break on the weekend! Deutsche Bank: The US stock market now has a "Black Monday" and "Deadly Friday."
Deutsche Bank analysis pointed out that in 2025, the performance of the US stock market on Fridays was 0.4 percentage points below the average level, while in the past nearly a hundred years, Friday's market performance was nearly 0.1 percentage points above the average level. This is because the market is worried about the "headline news risk" of Trump over the weekend, leading investors to reduce risk exposure before the weekend. The poor performance on Mondays indicates that these threats have not been completely eliminated.
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The leaders of the U.S. stock market are showing weakness, and Analysts warn that market sentiment is becoming poor.
① Last week, the US stock market experienced a sell-off, with the Nasdaq Composite Index, S&P 500 Index, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all recording declines; ② The market faces pressures from the threat of a government shutdown, high tariffs, and the Federal Reserve delaying interest rate cuts, leading to low investor sentiment; ③ Analysts also pointed out that leading companies in the US stock market have shown weak performance recently, and if they cannot continue to lead the market upward, the US stock indices may continue to be impacted.
Are "Trump's tariffs" raising concerns about stagflation? A well-known investment bank warns that U.S. stocks could fall about 10% this year!
①Stifel's chief stock strategist predicts that the S&P 500 Index will fall to 5,500 points by the end of 2025, which is a decrease of about 10% from the current level. ②He expects that the USA economy may enter a mild stagflation period in the second half of this year, with economic growth slowing and inflation remaining high.
The most accurate Analyst on Wall Street: the USA government is plunging into recession and will drag the USA into recession.
Michael Hartnett, the chief strategist at Bank of America, believes that the current fiscal situation of the USA government and the job market are deteriorating, with real estate and Consumer spending slowing simultaneously. The tailwinds from wealth effects and job growth are diminishing, and inflation is eroding Consumer confidence, all of which convey signs of recession.
