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"Global asset pricing anchor" screams! Are US bond bears sounding the assembly call?
①With the 10-year US Treasury yield, known as the "anchor of global asset pricing," returning to above the 4% level this week; ②More and more traders are beginning to worry that the US Treasury market will further give back earlier gains this year; ③Because they expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at a slower pace before the end of the year.
Treasury Yields Settle Mixed as Fed Repricing Fizzles -- Market Talk
Just two days! The expectation of a 50 basis point rate cut was shattered as the 10-year US Treasury yield returned above 4%.
1. On Monday this week, the sharp drop in the US Treasury market further intensified, and the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond returned above the 4% level, reaching its highest level since August; 2. Due to the unexpectedly strong US employment report announced last Friday, traders are forced to reevaluate their predictions for the outlook of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
U.S. Hiring Might Be Cooler Than It Seems
US stocks collectively fell by about 1%, with Chinese concept stocks rebounding in a V-shape, US bond yields rising above 4%, and oil prices rising by nearly 4%.
USA stocks and bonds both fell, with the Dow down 400 points, Tesla down 3.7%, Nvidia up over 2%, Chinese concept stocks fell nearly 3% before closing higher, Alibaba and Tencent ADRs rose 2.6%, Li Auto Inc. rose over 4%. The two-year US treasury yield rose nearly 10 basis points, breaking above 4% for the first time since August for both the 2-year and 10-year treasury yields, with the US dollar hovering at a seven-week high since August 16. Brent crude oil closed above $80, reaching a six-week high along with WTI oil climbing above $77. Silver briefly fell more than 2.4%.
The Fed May Not Cut Rates In November. What to Do With Treasury Bonds Now. -- Barrons.com