Express News | US July ADP Nonfarm Employment Change +122000 Vs +147000 Forecast, Prior +150000
Treasury Yields Steady Ahead of Federal Reserve Policy Decision
Lower U.S. Borrowing Helps Treasurys, but Bunds Still Outpeform
The demand continues to decline, and the prosperity of the US manufacturing industry is fading.
Producers of durable goods such as automobiles, agricultural machinery, and washing machines all anticipate a challenging business environment for the remaining time this year as consumer demand in the USA slows down, and have begun to lay off employees and reduce production.
As the interest rate cut approaches, the US has a reserve of 6 trillion dollars in ammunition, but the biggest beneficiary may not be the US stock market.
The loose interest rate cycle in the United States is about to begin, and some investors believe that it will cause funds to flow from money market funds (MMFs) to US stocks, providing support for stock market growth. However, UBS Group pointed out that historical data shows that this may not be the case.
The longest consecutive increase in three years! The expectation of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve ignited the US bond market, and investors are facing a crucial decision week!
The continuous rise in US bond prices suggests the possibility of achieving a third consecutive month of growth, which will be the longest lasting uptrend in three years.
U.S. Rate-Cut Expectations Could Reinforce Yield Curve Steepening
Trump claims that a strong US dollar has severely damaged American manufacturing, but Yellen responded that interest rates are determined by the market.
According to former US President Trump, a strong US dollar is devastating for American manufacturing, but for US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, things are not that simple.
Is Bitcoin the Key to Solving U.S. National Debt? Senator Lummis Thinks So!
Brokerage research: What impact will the change of US presidency have on the structure of US stocks?
Xingye Securities released research reports stating that recent Trump's shooting events have increased his chances of being elected.
Yellen denies "manipulating" the US bond market by relaxing financial conditions to assist in the election.
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen firmly denied economist Nouriel Roubini's allegations that the Treasury Department is manipulating the issuance of government bonds to lower the actual cost of borrowing for the entire economy.
Technology stocks encountered a "Black Wednesday", USA's "hard landing" should not be ignored!
Some popular recession indicators are continuously alarming, and the yield curve has been inverted for two years, releasing recession signals of unemployment rate. The market is paying attention to whether the second quarter GDP to be released on Thursday will trigger a red light warning.
Powell Put at Play: Rotation, Yen and Treasuries
Term Premium on U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Looks Low -- Market Talk
Price-Rigid Buyers Keep U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Flat For Now -- Market Talk
US stocks closed with all three major indices falling, with the S&P Nasdaq index seeing its largest weekly decline in three months. Technology stocks weakened, with Tesla down more than 4%, Nvidia down more than 2%, and CrowdStrike down more than 11%.
Investors accelerated their escape from technology stocks, with stocks and bonds in Europe and the United States being hit hard for two days. This week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by about 2% and 3.7%, respectively. The Nasdaq stopped its six-week continuous rise, while the Dow and small-cap indices rose by 0.7% and 1.7%, respectively. Chip stocks fell more than 3% on Friday and nearly 9% for the week. Nvidia also fell more than 8.7% for the past three months, making it the worst performer. The "seven sisters of technology" all fell for the week, and cybersecurity leader Crowdstrike, which triggered a global technology outage, fell 11% on Friday, the worst in nearly two years. The VIX panic index rose more than 32% for the week.
Two officials of the Federal Reserve indicated that it is necessary to reform the discount window tool.
Boorman, a director of the Federal Reserve, and Logan, the president of the Dallas Federal Reserve, suggested that the Federal Reserve should assess to what extent its emergency lending tools can meet the liquidity needs of the banking system, implying the need to reform the discount window.
Underlying Details of 20-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Auction Were Strong
Greater Prospects of Trump Winning Election Could Push Up U.S. Treasury Yields -- Market Talk
Trump Shooting Offers Test for Stock Market as Investors Weigh His Election Odds Now