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SpyderCall

May 4, 2022 23:09

Is the Commodities Rally Still in Full Effect?

Commodities and Energy are jumping after the Fed rate hike. Jerome Powell mentioned high but manageable inflation. Is the “Volker Era” coming soon? I can barely afford a full gas tank as it is already. The ban on Russian oil by the EU is surely the cause for the pop. You can blame supply chain issues all you want. Rising oil prices is the number one cause of inflation in most cases.
What’s gonna happen? Where are my commodity bulls at? I...

Difficult decision: Fed faces rate rise dilemma

GNRForever : When they see red, they will change their tune

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iamiam : I was bearish just for relief, because in real life it's all bullish - it's a fight for certain oil and we are buying diesel like crazy, along with everyone else
its creating problems that will present themselves in the future.
Just today (because of the cost of diesel) we pushed up a bunch of projects and filed a bunch of breach of contracts because some people (and govt entities) are reluctant to pay the higher cost and think price will come down (a big part with govt is they are reluctant/stubborn to use different materials and want what they call for in their specifications but they all have the same specs so everyone is chasing the same manufacturers and materials *hello more govt caused inflation*)
Say you do order something and now they tell you we'll give you a price when we deliver it in 6-12 months and you can expect a higher price.
Anyways I'm tired and rambling,
but jpow-wow actually said today the FED can't control commodity, energy and food price inflation and that's why they dont track it. Let that sink in. This is going to end ugly but first it will be glorious. The FED cant land this, inflation wont be controlled until they crush demand but then they CRUSH DEMAND sorry for the ramble finishing my post and barely keep my eyes open

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SpyderCall OP iamiam : No that’s good stuff. I must have been distracted when he said he the fed doesnt track commodities for inflation. Thats pretty wild. Crushing demand seems to be the only thing they can at least try to do. Volker Era Incoming

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SpyderCall OP iamiam : And its funny because the other day it looked like a lot of commodities and oil were going for a small leg down and then boom EU bans Russian Oil. Couldn’t have planned it better myself

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solo invest : EU banning Russian oil. Yikes. I hope the EU can survive this. I’m sure they already have a plan in place.

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SpyderCall

May 2, 2022 02:41

Columns Monday Outlook 5/2

The main event for the week will be Jerome Powell's rate hike on wednesday this week. The Fed increasing interest rates is the main reason for the market correction these past months. A 50 basis point hike is expected. Anything different will surely move markets. we might even possibly get a big move in the markets off of the expected 50 point move as well.
Many world markets will be closed for some time this week. Most importantly Chinese mainland markets will be cl...

SpyderCall

Apr 9, 2022 15:09

Sectors to Watch Next Week

$The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund(XLV.US)$ $Ishares U.S. Energy Etf(IYE.US)$ $Ishares Global Energy Etf(IXC.US)$ $iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return ETN(DJP.US)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU.US)$ $Ishares U.S. Utilities Etf(IDU.US)$
Here are the best performing sectors from last week. Of course commodity and energy related sectors outperformed. I don't know how the healthcare sector snuck up to the top of the list. With inflation still in question thes...

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