UVXY240913C20000
- 9.38
- +2.00+27.10%
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF Newsroom
Surviving and thriving: trading strategies for navigating potential recession
Is there any possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut? Tonight, the night of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will determine everything!
Last Friday's US non-farm night has made the expectation of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month the mainstream in the current market. Whether the tilted expectation of an interest rate cut will continue until the Fed's interest rate decision day next week remains to be seen. Tonight could be the last "decisive moment"...
Is the 'political honeymoon period' over? Latest polls: Harris' support rate has stagnated, lagging behind Trump.
1. According to a poll released by the new york times and Siena College on September 8, Trump leads Harris by a slight margin of 48% to 47%; 2. This is the first time in nearly a month that Trump has led Harris in a mainstream poll.
Getting attention! The options market is currently focused on the Fed's interest rate cut.
The fiercely competitive presidential election has gradually faded from the market's view, and investors' attention is now focused on the Federal Reserve meeting on September 18th.
The suspense of the Fed's interest rate cut in September may have to wait until the last moment to be revealed! The U.S. stock market wants to see a 25 basis point cut.
The latest employment data did not resolve the market's debate over the extent of the Fed's interest rate cut in September; however, the employment report did intensify concerns about a cooling labor market.
usa Qualcomm inflation whistle-blower: non-farm report is not particularly bad, 50% probability of a 25/50 basis point rate cut on September.
Summers said that the August non-farm employment report in the United States was not particularly bad. The numbers in the non-farm report definitely didn't show any obvious weakness, but if there are concerns about the recent trend in statistics, they definitely did not provide evidence of a healthy economy.
Just finished directing 'Black Monday' last month! How will the financial markets spend Nonfarm Night tonight?
On this big day, which can be considered a "battle of the king of stocks, bonds, and the foreign exchange market," what kind of answer will the August non-farm data give to the market? Will the data performance be as "shocking" as last month? How will the markets of various asset classes perform tonight?
Paulson, a potential finance minister candidate for Trump, said the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates too slowly, and rates should be lowered to 2.5% by the end of 2025.
Potential Treasury Secretary nominee Paulson, a billionaire from the USA, stated that the rise in real interest rates indicates that the Federal Reserve is behind in easing monetary policy, and by the end of next year, "my best estimate is that the federal fund interest rate will be around 3%, or perhaps 2.5%."
Don't delay, Fed! Even the economists at Morgan Stanley have changed their attitude: a big move in September is necessary.
JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist Michael Feroli recently stated that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the September meeting; Although inflation remains slightly above target, the unemployment rate may already be slightly higher than what they consider to be full employment.
The decline in job vacancies in the United States exceeded expectations, and the market increased its bet on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
The number of job vacancies in the USA in July decreased from 7.91 million (revised downward from the previous month) to 7.67 million, marking the second consecutive month of decline. Federal Reserve policymakers have explicitly stated that they do not want to see further cooling of the labor market, and it is widely expected that they will begin cutting interest rates at the next meeting.
Federal Reserve Beige Book: Economic activity is flat or declining in 9 regions, consumer spending is slowing, and the job market is mixed with both positive and negative aspects.
The overall assessment of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book is not optimistic. Economic activity in most regions remained flat or declined, increasing from five in July to nine, with only three regions experiencing slight economic growth, while consumer spending slowed in most regions.
US Stocks Plunge as Sept Kicks Off. What's Behind the Drop and How to Protect Your Portfolio?
Manufacturing data is constantly bringing bad news, once again sparking market concerns about the economic outlook in the USA.
① The ISM Manufacturing PMI has been below 50 for the fifth consecutive month, which means that manufacturing economic activity has been cooling down for five months in a row; ② S&P Global's August Manufacturing PMI was revised down from 48 to 47.9, originally expected to be adjusted to 48.1. In July, this number was 49.6.
Stocks May Correct in September: Morgan Stanley's Caron
Will tonight's ISM manufacturing index set the tone for global markets this week?
As the first important economic indicator of the week announced, the ISM Manufacturing Index is expected to be in contraction range for the fifth consecutive month. Bank of America believes that if the ISM Manufacturing Index is above 49, it may push the 30-year US bond yield to above 4.3%.
The entire market focuses on non-farm, be careful of the 'backfire' of inflation.
Deutsche Bank believes that considering the global increase in money supply growth, sticky inflation, geopolitical risks, and the need for greater fiscal stimulus for higher post-pandemic real yields, it is still too early to dismiss inflation risks.
What Does the VIX Measure?
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is getting closer, and asset management giants are restructuring their positions and increasing their bets on emerging market assets.
Several of the top-performing emerging market bond management companies are repositioning their portfolios, as the highly anticipated interest rate cuts in the United States in decades have brought new momentum to asset classes that have suffered nearly $15 billion in outflows this year.
USA's July PCE inflation rose moderately, paving the way for a rate cut next month.
①In July, the overall PCE price index increased by 2.5% year-on-year, with an expected 2.6%; the month-on-month increase was 0.2%, in line with expectations. ② The impact of this report may be insignificant, but it does confirm what Fed Chairman Powell said, with the focus potentially being on employment trends, as people believe that the inflation trend may continue towards the 2% target.
Why Good Economic Data Is Now Good News for the Market