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The key indicators of inflation in the United States have slowed down, with the market already pricing in more than two interest rate cuts this year!
The biggest 'surprise' in the June CPI report was that stubborn housing inflation cooled rapidly, falling from 0.40% on a month-on-month basis to 0.17%, boosting market expectations of interest rate cuts. It is certain that interest rate cuts will be implemented in September, and possibly even in July.
How do high officials of the Federal Reserve view the significant cooling of inflation in the USA?
Two senior officials from the Federal Reserve spoke on Thursday, stating that inflation is making progress. The president of the St. Louis Reserve stated that the current policy interest rate is appropriate at this stage. The president of the San Francisco Reserve stated that given recent employment and inflation data, the Federal Reserve may need to make interest rate adjustments, but did not provide a specific schedule for rate cuts.
"Xinmei Federal Reserve News Agency" evaluates CPI in June: Mild inflation opens the door for a rate cut in September.
According to Timiraos' article, after the release of CPI, investors have increased the possibility of rate cuts in September, November, and December this year. A major question at this month's Fed meeting is how much basis Fed officials have laid for a rate cut in September. This year's FOMC voter, President of the San Francisco Fed, Daly, expects that it may be reasonable to cut interest rates soon after the announcement of the CPI, but also said that more information needs to be collected.
PepsiCo's Cheetos are the Latest Economic Red Flag
Signs keep accumulating that U.S. consumers are in trouble. Investors are paying heed. The latest warnings came from two packaged-food giants on Thursday, PepsiCo and Conagra Brands.
S&P 500, Nasdaq Pull Back Thursday While Dow Climbs | Market Story
As a general recap, the market was advancing overall while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq pull back a bit from seven consecutive record sessions. Shortly after 10:15 am EST, the $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)
Small-Caps Surge as Magnificent Seven Gets Taken to Woodshed After Cool CPI Reading
By William Watts Hedge funds seen feeling the pain as they unwind short bets against small- and midcap stocks It wasn't a magnificent day to be a hedge fund long megacap tech stocks and short the