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Cross-market firecrackers are sounding! After the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision night, what is the probability of a rate cut in December?
①If measured by the comprehensive performance of cross-assets, yesterday may have been the best performing day of the year for the Fed interest rate day market; ②The Fed announced a 25 basis point rate cut to 4.5%-4.75% on Thursday as expected by the market, with a possible rate cut again in December; ③CME's FedWatch tool shows that traders currently expect a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December with a probability of 67.8%.
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74724029 : China already has a tariff contingency plan, while the usa entering a rate-cutting cycle may cause inflation from tariffs, it's hard to say who will suffer first.