US Inflation Expectations Steady for Short Term, Slows to Record Low for Medium Term, NY Fed Survey
Will the rebound of the US stock market be inevitably rocky with the arrival of "Super Data Week"?
It is now market consensus that inflation is declining. This week's retail and first application data may be more important than PPI and CPI. "From now on, the data will tell us about the US economy: whether it is gradually slowing down or plummeting abruptly."
Goldman Sachs warns: After the frenzy of VIX, the US stock market will still be very dangerous for the next 8 days.
Goldman Sachs' derivatives department's latest analysis points out that investors should be prepared to face market volatility for at least the next eight trading days.
The most accurate analyst on Wall Street: It's no longer about “to cut or not to cut”, or “when to cut”, but rather “whether cutting interest rates is still effective”.
According to Michael Hartnett, Chief Strategist at Bank of America, significant interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are necessary to prevent a recession. If certain key indicators are breached, the Wall Street narrative will shift from a soft landing to a hard landing. Hartnett recommends focusing on the US NFIB Small Business Confidence data, which will be released on Tuesday.
What is smart money doing after the market crash? Buying at the bottom!
Last week, the overall trend of US stocks showed a slight net buy, which was not offset by a large number of short sells. Nine out of the 11 sectors of the US stock market had a net buying trend, with technology and finance sectors leading the way.
FTSE 100 Seen Opening Higher After Volatile Week -- Market Talk
What will happen to the US stock market every time the VIX soars?
Bank of America Merrill Lynch pointed out that in the 4 to 8 weeks following the first surge of the vix index, the S&P 500 index tends to struggle; when the vix surges to over 45 points within a week, the S&P 500 index often achieves a high ROI in the following 13 weeks, 26 weeks, 39 weeks and 52 weeks.
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Wall Street Today | Flat Market To Finish Wild Week
S&P 500 Tried to Hold Friday After Best Day Since 2023 | Market Story
In a week of "black" in the U.S stock market, super-rich people are not in a rush to buy the dip, instead turning to private equity and estate tax planning.
Global stocks experienced a sharp decline on Monday this week, but wealthy investors and family offices did not panic or rush to buy low. This is because before the market turmoil this week, they had been reducing their stock holdings for over a year and shifting towards private market investments such as private equity. At the same time, they saw the stock price drop on Friday and Monday as an opportunity for tax savings and estate planning.
Former United States Treasury Secretary Summers made a big U-turn! He believes that a 50 basis point interest rate cut in September is appropriate, which has caused a rise in US stocks.
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers believes that a 50 basis point interest rate cut in September may be appropriate and represents a significant shift from his previous hawkish stance. Short-term U.S. stocks rose significantly, with the Nasdaq up more than 0.8% and Russell small-cap stocks rebounding.