The darkest moment has passed! Goldman Sachs experts accurately predicted this round of correction: the end of August will bring a good opportunity for buying US stocks.
Investors will have a short window at the end of August to buy US stocks at a low point.
The Panic Is Over. Or Is It?
Fed Survey: US three-year inflation expectations hit a new low, household spending expectations weak, and unexpectedly positive unemployment expectations.
According to the consumer survey report released by the New York Fed, the one-year and five-year inflation expectations of American consumers in July remained stable, while the three-year inflation expectations plummeted, reaching a record low of 2.3% since data recording began in 2013. The expected increase in household spending in July is 4.9%, the lowest since April 2021. Surprisingly, the unemployment outlook has improved, contradicting the weak non-farm payroll data.
Will the rebound of the US stock market be inevitably rocky with the arrival of "Super Data Week"?
It is now market consensus that inflation is declining. This week's retail and first application data may be more important than PPI and CPI. "From now on, the data will tell us about the US economy: whether it is gradually slowing down or plummeting abruptly."
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The most accurate analyst on Wall Street: It's no longer about “to cut or not to cut”, or “when to cut”, but rather “whether cutting interest rates is still effective”.
According to Michael Hartnett, Chief Strategist at Bank of America, significant interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are necessary to prevent a recession. If certain key indicators are breached, the Wall Street narrative will shift from a soft landing to a hard landing. Hartnett recommends focusing on the US NFIB Small Business Confidence data, which will be released on Tuesday.
What will happen to the US stock market every time the VIX soars?
Bank of America Merrill Lynch pointed out that in the 4 to 8 weeks following the first surge of the vix index, the S&P 500 index tends to struggle; when the vix surges to over 45 points within a week, the S&P 500 index often achieves a high ROI in the following 13 weeks, 26 weeks, 39 weeks and 52 weeks.
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Unfazed by the black week in US stocks, many individual investors are seizing the opportunity to buy low.
According to multiple reports, individual investors were active buyers during the recent stock market crash in the U.S. However, they also showed some signs of caution while buying the dip, increasing their allocation to defensive assets.
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