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How much will the Fed cut interest rates in September? Key committee member: It completely depends on the next two weeks!
①Mary Daly, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, said that the Fed needs to cut interest rates to maintain a healthy job market, which further reinforces the market's view that a rate cut in September is a done deal; ②Daly also revealed that she believes the size of the Fed's interest rate cut will depend on upcoming economic data - including the non-farm payroll report this Friday and the CPI data next Wednesday.
"September curse" will come true again? Goldman Sachs warns: Put on US stocks from September 16th.
If employment data is weak, the stock market may experience a pullback.
The decline in job vacancies in the United States exceeded expectations, and the market increased its bet on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
The number of job vacancies in the USA in July decreased from 7.91 million (revised downward from the previous month) to 7.67 million, marking the second consecutive month of decline. Federal Reserve policymakers have explicitly stated that they do not want to see further cooling of the labor market, and it is widely expected that they will begin cutting interest rates at the next meeting.
Federal Reserve Beige Book: Economic activity is flat or declining in 9 regions, consumer spending is slowing, and the job market is mixed with both positive and negative aspects.
The overall assessment of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book is not optimistic. Economic activity in most regions remained flat or declined, increasing from five in July to nine, with only three regions experiencing slight economic growth, while consumer spending slowed in most regions.
A New Recession Warning Is About to Flash as Investors Await August Unemployment Report
Ready for rate cuts! A hawkish voting member of the Federal Reserve suddenly released a signal of monetary easing.
Bostick recently stated that he has shifted his focus to the central bank's "dual mandate" and mentioned that he is ready to start lowering interest rates. He believes that the labor market has "relaxed somewhat but remains generally stable" and that the labor market has become somewhat weaker compared to before, but is not objectively weak.
The performance of the US stock market is the third worst this year! Goldman Sachs: Market collapse is not uncommon, with two main reasons.
Goldman Sachs analysts pointed out that there were two reasons for the decline in US stocks on September 3rd: disappointing ISM data and market concerns about the global stock market crash on August 5th. However, the large drop in US stocks on September 3rd is still within normal range.
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Market Bull Warns Of Up To 10% September Pullback, Urges Caution But Stresses Be Ready To 'Buy That Dip'
Expectations of a rate cut may be significantly discounted! Bank of America warns: the biggest risk to U.S. stocks this week is on Friday.
①Bank of America pointed out that the biggest risk facing the US stock market this week is the stronger-than-expected August non-farm payroll report; ② Overheated employment data will reprice the expected number of interest rate cuts this year.
Manufacturing data is constantly bringing bad news, once again sparking market concerns about the economic outlook in the USA.
① The ISM Manufacturing PMI has been below 50 for the fifth consecutive month, which means that manufacturing economic activity has been cooling down for five months in a row; ② S&P Global's August Manufacturing PMI was revised down from 48 to 47.9, originally expected to be adjusted to 48.1. In July, this number was 49.6.
Bull Tom Lee Advises Caution. Stocks Could Fall 7% or More
Why Is the Stock Market Down? Manufacturing Data Reminded Investors That Bad News Is Bad News