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On the first trading day of the New Year, Bank stocks opened high and then fell back. Many Institutions: the opening performance may be better than in previous years, but the trend of declining net interest margin remains unchanged.
① The crediting ratio between each quarter is expected to recover to a ratio of 4:3:2:1. ② It is expected that policy trends will continue, gradually boosting demand in the Real Estate sector. ③ This year, the decline in net interest margin for Banks is narrower compared to 2024, with a calculated interest margin of 1.34% under neutral assumptions.
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Policy stimulus for 3C and home appliance demand release. Will the multiplier effect of the "trade-in" policy continue in 2025? | Year-end review.
In 2024, the implementation of the "national subsidy" policy for the exchange of old for new will effectively stimulate the demand for home appliances and Consumer Electronics. Market analysis suggests that related subsidies for the exchange of old for new are expected to continue next year, with mobile phones and more home improvement categories likely included, while the future policy-driven effects still remain to be observed.