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J Servai (JLAPT) : $Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.US)$
10baggerbamm : you're incorrect saying that drill baby drill benefits oil companies. they're underlying commodity with an increase in supply will result in significantly lower prices it's economics 101. it's exact same thing that happened during the Trump first administration and if you look at the performance of large oil companies and intermediate oil companies they were down between 30 and 70% under Trump's first term.. I think you should go look at history and see the impact on these companies stock prices as a result of lower oil prices
YZRolling 10baggerbamm : While increased supply can lead to lower commodity prices, large oil companies often offset this with operational efficiencies, diversification, and downstream operations (refining and chemicals), which benefit from cheaper crude. On the other hand, stock prices aren't solely tied to oil prices. Broader economic trends, geopolitical events, and company-specific factors (like debt management and cost control) also influence performance.
A Humble Mooer : I get people WANT to view this positively. I'm trying to find opportunities in Trumps actions too.
This analysis though is so positive it borders on a little delusional.
10baggerbamm A Humble Mooer : well you have to look at it very basic if you're operating a company in one of your biggest expenses is fuel and that price goes down everything else being equal your margins and profits go up.
so that's your cruise liners all your cruise companies pick the best one because as long as discretionary income increases and it will when oil prices fall you have more money people are going to accelerate they're bookings for cruise ships. the cost of their fuel is going to go down significantly. I would tell people to look at that before airlines airlines have a lot of other problems unions at the top of the list Boeing aircraft but the cruise ships don't have to deal with that issue you just have to worry about another epidemic potentially.
additionally you have Federal Express and UPS UPS is played with surprisingly enough union problems Federal Express doesn't have that issue to contend with same thing their profit margins are going to go up when the cost of jet fuel goes down which means the stock price will go up. so go down the list of companies that use the most fuel it's a very basic approach but it absolutely will work.
lastly is the trade that I have a large position in I'm going to be buying every week and it's going to be for me a multi-million dollar position.
I believe what Trump said he will do promises me promises kept
red or blue oil prices will fall that is a fact no they're not going to fall to what they were in the first term because of coded where it went negative $22 a barrel.
you will have oil prices in the low 50s maybe high 40s at some point in time.
DRIP
this is a leveraged ETF that's a inverse ETF to the price of oil. does oil falls and natural gas falls and as the stocks start having their margins deteriorate because the commodity that they're producing is worth less. Lowe's stocks fall and this ETF goes straight up.
this is going to be a slow grind it is not going to spike $2 $3 in a day. it will move up a few pennies and we'll move down a few pennies but if you believe what president Trump said that within 12 months of my inauguration that would be yesterday oil prices will be down 50%.
this ETF will be in the twenties
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